Summary
• Price broke below key support at 0.0340, signaling potential bearish momentum.
• Volume surged during the overnight session, confirming bearish continuation.
• MACD and RSI both show weakening momentum with RSI near oversold territory.
• Bollinger Bands widened in the last 4 hours, suggesting increased volatility.
Act I : The AI Prophecy/Tether (ACTUSDT) opened at 0.0368 at 12:00 ET−1, reached a high of 0.0373 and a low of 0.0315 before closing at 0.0322 as of 12:00 ET. Total trading volume for the 24-hour period was approximately 68,398,202.90, with a notional turnover of around 2,177,560.74 USD.
Structure & Formations
The price trended lower throughout the 24-hour period, forming a bearish channel and a key breakdown below the 0.0340 psychological level. A large bearish engulfing pattern was observed around 0.0348, followed by a series of lower highs and closes. A doji appeared near 0.0325, indicating a potential temporary pause in selling pressure.
Moving Averages
On the 5-minute chart, the price closed below both the 20-period and 50-period moving averages, reinforcing short-term bearish bias. The 200-period moving average on the daily chart has not yet been updated for the full 24-hour period, but the current price path suggests a potential cross below key mid-term levels.
MACD & RSI
The MACD has shown a bearish crossover and remains in negative territory, confirming ongoing downward momentum. RSI has dropped to 30, indicating oversold conditions, although divergence is not yet evident. This suggests that a short-term bounce may be due, though a sustained reversal is unlikely without confirmation above 0.0340.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands expanded during the overnight session, with price spending the majority of the 24-hour period in the lower third of the bands. This points to heightened volatility and a continuation of bearish sentiment.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked significantly after 22:00 ET−1, coinciding with the breakdown below 0.0340. Notional turnover mirrored volume increases, confirming conviction behind the bearish move. The price action and volume show no signs of exhaustion, suggesting the move could continue.
Fibonacci Retracements
Applying Fibonacci levels to the most recent 5-minute swing from 0.0348 to 0.0315 shows the price now resting near the 61.8% retracement level of 0.0325. This could act
as a temporary floor, but a break below it could target the next level at 0.0319.
The price appears to be in a continuation phase of a bearish trend, with strong volume confirming the move. Traders may watch for a potential bounce near 0.0325 but should be cautious of a deeper pullback if support fails to hold. Short-term risks include further volatility and a test of critical levels below 0.0320.
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