Market Overview for 1inch/Tether (1INCHUSDT) – 2025-09-25

• 1INCHUSDT declined by 2.5% over the last 24 hours, reaching a low of 0.2271 before a slight rebound.
• RSI indicates oversold conditions at 29, suggesting potential for a short-term bounce.
• Bollinger Bands show a moderate contraction, hinting at a period of consolidation.
• Volume surged during the overnight session, with a peak of 627,612.2 at 12:30 ET, signaling heightened interest.
• A bullish engulfing pattern formed around 0.2294-0.2311, indicating short-term bearish pressure.

24-Hour Summary

At 12:00 ET–1 on 2025-09-24, 1INCHUSDT opened at 0.2383, peaked at 0.2415 during the afternoon, and bottomed at 0.2271 in the early morning before closing at 0.2301 at 12:00 ET on 2025-09-25. The total volume traded over the 24-hour period was 6,282,455.3, with a notional turnover of approximately $1,446,946.8 (assuming Tether as USD). The price movement was bearish overall, marked by intermittent resistance and consolidation.

Structure & Formations

The 15-minute chart reveals a bearish bias, with a critical support level forming at 0.2294–0.2311. A notable bearish engulfing pattern was observed near 0.2294, suggesting short-term bearish momentum. A key resistance zone appears at 0.2330–0.2340, which has repeatedly failed to hold during rebounds. The low of 0.2271 marks a key swing low that could serve as a psychological support if the pair tests this level again.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages are in a bearish crossover, reinforcing the downward bias. On the daily chart, the 50- and 100-period moving averages are also in a bearish alignment, with the 200-period line acting as a critical long-term resistance. Price has closed below all major moving averages, indicating a continuation of the bearish trend unless a strong reversal occurs.

MACD & RSI

The MACD has been negative for most of the session, with a recent contraction in the histogram suggesting waning bearish momentum. RSI stands at 29, indicating oversold conditions. This may point to a potential short-term bounce, though a sustained reversal will require volume confirmation and a breakout above the 0.2330 level. A bullish divergence is forming between price and RSI near the 0.2294 support level.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility has remained moderate, with price hovering just below the lower Bollinger Band during the overnight session. A contraction in the bands between 0.2290 and 0.2310 suggests a period of consolidation. A break above the upper band would be necessary for a reversal, while a break below the lower band could indicate further bearish momentum toward 0.2250.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked at 0.2271 (12:30 ET) with 627,612.2 contracts traded, suggesting a key rejection level. The high turnover at this point indicates that sellers stepped in aggressively. A divergence between volume and price during the morning rebound is also notable, as volume decreased while price rose slightly. This may signal a weak bounce rather than a genuine reversal.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci levels to the recent swing from 0.2271 to 0.2415, 0.2330 marks the 38.2% retracement level, and 0.2365 marks the 61.8% retracement. These levels are likely to be key psychological points for the pair in the coming sessions. If price breaks below 0.2271, the next Fibonacci level of interest would be 0.2228, which is the 78.6% retracement of the prior swing.

Backtest Hypothesis

Given the observed oversold conditions on RSI and the bearish engulfing pattern, a potential backtest hypothesis could involve a short-term long setup near the 0.2271–0.2294 range. A stop-loss could be placed below 0.2265, with a target aligned with the 38.2% retracement at 0.2330. This setup leverages the Fibonacci retracement levels, RSI divergence, and volume confirmation at key levels to balance risk and reward.