Marathon Petroleum Shares Rise 0.88% on $250M Volume Ranks 405th Despite 28.02% Drop Announces $0.91 Dividend With 91% Post-Ex Recovery Rate

Marathon Petroleum (MPC) rose 0.88% on August 20, 2025, with a trading volume of $250 million, marking a 28.02% decline from the prior day’s volume and ranking 405th in market activity. The stock declared a $0.91 quarterly dividend, effective with an ex-dividend date of August 20, supported by strong financials including $3.267 billion in net income and $71.573 billion in revenue. Historical backtests of 11 prior dividend events show a 91% probability of a 15-day price recovery, with an average rebound period of 2.4 days, underscoring the stock’s resilience post-dividend.

The dividend announcement reinforces Marathon’s position as a reliable energy sector income play, with a payout ratio of 54.01% and a 2.2% annual yield. Institutional investors, including Wellington Management Group and Vanguard, have increased stakes in the company, reflecting confidence in its stable cash flows and operational efficiency. Analysts highlight Marathon’s ability to sustain dividends amid favorable refining margins and robust retail demand, though quarterly revenue declined 11.1% year-over-year to $34.10 billion.

A backtest of MPC’s dividend events from 2022 to 2025 revealed consistent post-ex-dividend recovery patterns. The strategy of buying the top 500 stocks by volume and holding for one day yielded a total profit of $2,385.14 during this period, with steady growth despite market fluctuations. This data aligns with Marathon’s historical price rebound trends, suggesting favorable conditions for dividend capture strategies and long-term investment.