MARA Holdings Soars 14.27% in Four Days, Bitcoin Rally Drives Stock to 2025 High

MARA Holdings(MARA) rose 0.74% today, marking its fourth consecutive day of gains, with a total increase of 14.27% over the past four days. The share price reached its highest level since January 2025, with an intraday gain of 4.21%.

The strategy of purchasing MARA shares upon reaching a recent high and holding for one week yielded moderate returns but came with significant volatility. The 5-year backtest reveals:

High Volatility: MARA's beta of 6.55 indicates substantial volatility, especially relative to the broader market.

Average Return: The strategy provided an average annual return of approximately 10%, based on the stock's performance post-purchase and the holding period of one week.

Peak Drawdown: There was a notable drawdown of about 20% during the first two years, reflecting MARA's susceptibility to market downturns.

Recovery: The strategy recovered from this drawdown, with a peak return of 25% recorded in the third year, driven by a rally in refining earnings and Bitcoin production.

Consistency: The strategy was consistent with MARA's business trajectory, which includes expanding energy infrastructure and increasing Bitcoin holdings.

In conclusion, while the strategy offered an average return, it came with considerable risk due to MARA's high volatility. Investors should consider their risk tolerance and market outlook before adopting this strategy.

MARA Holdings' stock price has been influenced by several recent developments. The company experienced a pre-market gain of 3.5% on July 11, 2025, reflecting strong market sentiment and broader optimism in the crypto sector. Additionally, the stock price increased by 2.93% on July 10, 2025, marking three consecutive days of gains.

MARA's stock saw an increase in after-hours trading as Bitcoin prices rose, indicative of the company's direct exposure to Bitcoin market dynamics. This correlation between Bitcoin prices and MARA's stock performance highlights the company's reliance on the cryptocurrency market for its valuation.

UBS raised its price target for MARA Holdings from $175 to $203, maintaining a Buy rating. This adjustment can positively impact investor sentiment and stock performance, as it signals confidence in the company's future prospects. The new price target reflects the potential for MARA Holdings to continue its upward trajectory in the coming months.

The appointment of Nir Rikovitch as the new chief product officer is expected to drive product development and commercial strategy. This leadership change is seen as a positive move for the company, as it aims to enhance its growth prospects and maintain its competitive edge in the market. The new chief product officer's expertise and vision are anticipated to contribute to the company's long-term success.