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Macro investor Luke
has shared his insights on the future trends of gold and Bitcoin (BTC), indicating that both assets are poised for substantial upward movements until a critical juncture is reached. In a recent interview on the Less Noise More Signal YouTube , Gromen discussed the potential consequences of the US implementing capital controls to sustain its trade war. He suggested that such measures could significantly undermine the dollar’s status as the global reserve currency, thereby driving capital into gold and Bitcoin.Capital controls are government-imposed regulations designed to manage the flow of money within a country’s financial system, aimed at preventing capital flight during economic uncertainty. Gromen, the founder of the investment firm Forest For The Trees (FFTT), believes that gold and BTC will maintain their bullish momentum until the dollar weakens enough to attract foreign direct investment. He argues that the dollar’s reserve status will eventually be surpassed by gold, as major economies like Europe and China are unlikely to adopt the dollar due to various geopolitical and economic factors.
Gromen’s analysis indicates that the period during which the dollar weakens and foreign direct investment returns will be politically challenging. He predicts that during this phase, stocks may experience daily declines until the dollar reaches a level of weakness that stimulates foreign investment. This scenario could lead to a rapid sequence of events, including potential cuts by the Federal Reserve, a breakdown in the Treasury market, and a subsequent decline in stocks and bonds. However, Gromen believes that once the dollar weakens sufficiently, gold and Bitcoin will experience even greater gains, followed by a rebound in stocks.
Gromen’s perspective underscores the interconnected nature of global financial markets and the potential for significant shifts in asset values based on geopolitical and economic policies. His views highlight the importance of monitoring developments in US trade policy and the potential implementation of capital controls, as these factors could have far-reaching implications for investors in gold, Bitcoin, and other financial assets.

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