LVMH Rises Amid Global Uncertainty: Strategic Shifts Fuel 14% Share Jump

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Wednesday, Oct 15, 2025 7:44 am ET2min read
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- LVMH shares surged 14% after reporting first 2025 sales growth, driven by resilient fashion and China market recovery.

- Strategic investments in Chinese tier-2 cities and new designer-led collections boosted performance amid global economic uncertainty.

- Luxury sector optimism grew as Kering and Hermes rose, with analysts predicting 2026 recovery in soft luxury categories.

- Challenges persist in Cognac shipments and China's fragmented market, though tier-2 cities show stronger growth potential.

LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton's stock surged to its highest level in over two decades after the luxury conglomerate posted its first quarterly sales growth of 2025, signaling a potential turnaround in a sector battered by global economic uncertainty. The Paris-based giant reported a 1% organic sales increase in the third quarter, ending two consecutive quarters of declines, driven by strong performances in fashion, perfumes, and selective retailing. LVMH's shares jumped 14% in Paris trading, marking the largest intraday gain since September 2001, according to a Bloomberg report

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The rebound was fueled by a recovery in key markets, particularly China, where sales rose 2% in the quarter after a 9% decline in the first half of the year. This reversal was attributed to improved local demand and LVMH's strategic investments in tier-2 cities, where consumer confidence remains resilient compared to major metropolitan areas, according to eMarketer

. The fashion and leather goods division, which accounts for nearly half of LVMH's revenue, saw a shallower 2% decline, outperforming expectations amid weaker tourist spending in Europe and Japan. Analysts highlighted the division's "good resilience" with domestic customers, a contrast to the tourism-driven growth of 2024 .

LVMH's wines and spirits division, long plagued by trade tensions and inventory challenges, also showed signs of stabilization. Organic growth of 1% in the quarter was driven by Moët & Chandon Champagne and Provence rosé, though Cognac sales continued to struggle, down 12% year-to-date in the spirits segment. The division's CFO, Cecile Cabanis, noted that trade disputes between China and the EU, as well as shifting U.S. consumer preferences, remained headwinds . Meanwhile, the watches and jewelry division, home to Tiffany & Co. and Bulgari, posted 2% organic growth, bolstered by new collections and expanded retail concepts .

The results sparked optimism across the luxury sector, with European peers like Kering, Hermes, and Richemont rising sharply. Citi analysts called the performance a "ray of hope" for the industry, predicting a "positive tone" for upcoming earnings reports, according to CNBC

. RBC Capital Markets upgraded LVMH's price target to €575, citing "sequential improvements" in local demand and a potential recovery in soft luxury categories by 2026 .

LVMH's revival was also tied to strategic creative shifts. New designers at flagship brands, including Jonathan Anderson at Christian Dior and Maria Grazia Chiuri at Fendi, debuted collections that received critical acclaim. The company also launched its first makeup line under Louis Vuitton, leveraging the expertise of makeup artist Pat McGrath to drive innovation .

Despite the upbeat results, challenges persist. The Cognac industry, led by LVMH's Hennessy brand, faces calls for government support amid a 10% drop in shipments and ongoing trade disputes. Meanwhile, analysts at Berenberg cautioned that China's luxury market remains fragmented, with lower-tier cities offering more growth potential than affluent, price-sensitive tier-1 hubs, a point also highlighted by eMarketer.

LVMH's CEO, Bernard Arnault, emphasized the company's commitment to "enhancing brand desirability" through innovation and retail excellence. With 2025 shaping as a pivotal year, the group aims to leverage its "powerful brands and agile organization" to reclaim global leadership in luxury goods .

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