LUNR Soars 10.7% on Lunar Expansion and Bullish Options Flow

Summary
• Intuitive Machines (LUNR) surges 10.69% to $11.29, breaking above its 200-day moving average of $10.31
• Intraday high of $11.305 and low of $10.16 highlight volatile session
• Options volume spikes with 4,880 contracts traded on 12/19 expirations

Intuitive Machines (LUNR) is surging on a breakout above key technical levels and a surge in call options activity. The stock’s 10.7% rally to $11.29 follows news of expanded lunar manufacturing facilities and bullish positioning in the options market. With turnover hitting 4.74 million shares and a 200-day MA crossover, the move reflects renewed confidence in the company’s Mars-to-Moon infrastructure ambitions.

Lunar Manufacturing Expansion Fuels Optimism
Intuitive Machines’ 10.7% surge stems from its announced expansion of Houston Spaceport facilities and in-house satellite production. The company’s vertical integration strategy—bringing design, manufacturing, and testing under one roof—positions it to accelerate lunar and Mars missions while reducing costs. This aligns with its IM-3 lunar mission and NSNS satellite contracts, signaling operational scalability. The move has triggered a 223% surge in the $11 call option (LUNR20251212C11) and a 125% jump in the $11 call (LUNR20251219C11), reflecting aggressive bullish bets ahead of key December expirations.

Options Playbook: High-Leverage Calls for Lunar Breakouts
• 200-day MA: $10.31 (broken) • RSI: 56.29 (neutral) • MACD: -0.36 (bullish crossover) • Bollinger Bands: $8.18–$10.41 (price at upper band)

Key levels to watch: $11.30 (intraday high) and $10.31 (200-day MA). The RSI at 56.29 suggests neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram’s positive divergence hints at short-term bullish momentum. The stock’s 10.7% rally has pushed it into overbought territory relative to its 52-week range ($6.14–$24.95).

Top Options:
• LUNR20251219C11 (Call, $11 strike, 12/19 expiry):
- IV: 106.84% (high volatility)
- Delta: 0.595 (moderate sensitivity)
- Theta: -0.0447 (rapid time decay)
- Gamma: 0.1533 (high sensitivity to price swings)
- Turnover: 488,009 (liquid)
- Leverage: 9.74% (high)
- Payoff at 5% upside ($11.85): $0.85/share
- Why: High gamma and liquidity make this ideal for a short-term breakout trade.

• LUNR20251219C12 (Call, $12 strike, 12/19 expiry):
- IV: 111.97% (extreme)
- Delta: 0.448 (moderate)
- Theta: -0.0436 (aggressive decay)
- Gamma: 0.1493 (high)
- Turnover: 584,437 (liquid)
- Leverage: 14.49% (very high)
- Payoff at 5% upside ($11.85): $0.85/share
- Why: High leverage and gamma position this for a leveraged play on a sustained rally.

Action: Aggressive bulls should target LUNR20251219C12 for a 14.5% leveraged bet, while LUNR20251219C11 offers a more conservative entry. Both contracts benefit from high gamma and liquidity, but the $12 call’s 14.5% leverage ratio amplifies potential returns if the stock holds above $11.30.

Backtest Intuitive Machines Stock Performance
Apologies—the event back-test engine was unable to fetch price data for the ticker “LUNR”, which triggered a system-level error (“get_asset_price ”). I see two practical ways we can move forward:1. Retry the event back-test after tweaking the parameters that sometimes resolve this issue • Use the exchange-qualified ticker symbol (e.g., “NASDAQ:LUNR”). • Shorten the end date to the most recently confirmed trading day in our data (e.g., 20251203 or today’s date). 2. Bypass the engine altogether and calculate post-event performance directly from the price file we already pulled. • I can compute key metrics—average 1-/3-/5-/10-day returns, hit rate, best/worst cases, etc.—using the 11 %-surge dates we identified, then present the results in tabular form.Please let me know which approach you prefer (or if you have another idea), and I’ll proceed right away.

Moonshot Momentum: Watch $11.30 Hold for Extended Bull Run
Intuitive Machines’ 10.7% surge reflects a breakout above critical technical and fundamental levels. The stock’s 200-day MA crossover and bullish options flow suggest momentum is intact. Investors should monitor the $11.30 intraday high as a key support level—holding above this could trigger a retest of the 52-week high at $24.95. Meanwhile, the aerospace sector leader Lockheed Martin (LMT) fell 0.02%, highlighting LUNR’s outperformance. Act now: Buy LUNR20251219C12 for a high-leverage play if $11.30 holds, or short-term calls for a Mars-themed breakout.