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Summary
• Price drifted lower in 24 hours, forming bearish consolidation below 4.35e-05 resistance.
• RSI and MACD signal waning bullish momentum with potential oversold conditions near 4.21e-05.
• Volume surged during the major selloff but failed to confirm a strong reversal.
• Bollinger Bands contract highlights reduced volatility and possible breakout.
• A bearish engulfing pattern formed during early morning hours, indicating a short-term bearish bias.
Terra Classic/Tether (LUNCUSDT) opened at 4.349e-05, touched a high of 4.357e-05, and a low of 4.182e-05, closing at 4.273e-05 at 12:00 ET. Total volume was 15,628,176,004.12, and notional turnover was 66,543.86608836 USDT over the 24-hour period.
LUNCUSDT formed a bearish consolidation pattern below the 4.35e-05 resistance level, with multiple failed attempts to break above. A key support level appears to be forming around 4.21e-05, where price found a temporary floor during the selloff. A bearish engulfing pattern emerged during the early morning session, suggesting a continuation of the downward trend. A doji formed near 4.28e-05, indicating indecision among traders.
On the 5-minute chart, price closed below both the 20-period and 50-period moving averages, reinforcing the bearish bias. On the daily chart, the 50-period MA remains above the 100-period and 200-period MAs, indicating no strong reversal in the larger time frame.
The RSI dipped below 30, indicating potential oversold conditions but with no immediate bullish reversal. The MACD line crossed below the signal line, forming a bearish crossover, with a negative histogram that suggests weakening bullish momentum.

Bollinger Bands showed a contraction in the late evening, signaling reduced volatility and setting the stage for a potential breakout. Price remains below the lower band during the selloff, which could be a sign of increased bearish pressure.
Volume spiked during the major price drop, confirming the bearish move. However, the price failed to form a strong reversal pattern after the high-volume session. Notional turnover also rose during the selloff, aligning with the bearish move. A divergence between volume and price was not observed, suggesting the move remains supported.
Key retracement levels from the 5-minute swing high were tested, with price finding support near the 61.8% level at 4.21e-05. On the daily chart, the 38.2% retracement level appears to be acting as a psychological support.
LUNCUSDT appears to be in a short-term bearish phase, with a possible test of the 4.21e-05 support in the near term. If the price holds above this level, it could stabilize and potentially retest the 4.35e-05 resistance. However, a breakdown below 4.21e-05 may signal a deeper correction. Investors should remain cautious and monitor volume and RSI for signs of exhaustion or reversal.
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