LUNA Price Down 75.72% Year-Over-Year Amid Broader Market Volatility and Regulatory Shifts

On OCT 25 2025, LUNA rose by 0% within 24 hours to reach $0.1008, marking a modest 2.13% gain over the past seven days. However, this brief rebound has not offset the broader market dynamics. Over the last month, the token has dropped by 26.87%, and in the past year, it has fallen sharply by 75.72%. These movements reflect the persistent challenges in the broader crypto space, where regulatory shifts and macroeconomic pressures continue to weigh on investor sentiment.

The recent market behavior of LUNA is emblematic of the broader crypto landscape, which has seen a mix of speculative interest and institutional caution. The token has struggled to maintain a consistent upward trajectory, with its long-term trend remaining bearish despite occasional short-term rallies. Analysts have pointed to several factors influencing LUNA's performance, including the evolving regulatory environment, macroeconomic uncertainty, and the broader decline in risk appetite among institutional investors.

Technical indicators used by traders and analysts suggest that LUNA remains in a consolidation phase, with key resistance and support levels continuing to be tested. Traders are closely watching whether the token can break through its current range without triggering a reversal. A sustained move above $0.15 would signal a potential recovery, while a drop below $0.05 could intensify bearish momentum and draw in more short-term selling pressure.

Backtest Hypothesis

To evaluate the potential trading signals embedded in LUNA’s price action, a backtesting strategy can be employed focusing on a 26.87% drop over a one-month window. This threshold mirrors the recent monthly decline in LUNA and could serve as a proxy for identifying similar market conditions in historical data. By examining how LUNA and comparable assets have performed following such drops, investors and analysts can assess whether there is a pattern in recovery or continued downward momentum. This approach allows for a systematic analysis of past behavior to inform future expectations, while remaining grounded in historical data.