LUNA -77.43% in 1 Year Amid Market Uncertainty

On NOV 2 2025, LUNA dropped by 0.95% within 24 hours to reach $0.0936, marking a 3.21% decline over the past 7 days. While it recorded a modest 0.21% increase over the last month, the token has experienced a dramatic 77.43% decline in the past year. These figures reflect a broader trend of volatility and uncertainty in the digital asset market, despite the token's slight recovery in the short term.

LUNA’s recent price movements highlight the challenges faced by crypto assets amid shifting investor sentiment and macroeconomic conditions. Analysts project that the token may struggle to regain significant momentum without stronger fundamentals or structural changes to the underlying ecosystem. The sharp year-on-year decline underscores the risks associated with holding digital assets in a highly speculative and rapidly evolving market.

The price trajectory of LUNA has been shaped by a mix of market dynamics, including regulatory scrutiny, macroeconomic headwinds, and reduced institutional interest. While the token has demonstrated resilience in the monthly timeframe, the long-term bearish trend remains intact. Traders and investors are closely monitoring key technical levels and on-chain activity to gauge the potential for a reversal or continuation of the current trend.

Backtest Hypothesis

In evaluating potential trading strategies around LUNA’s price behavior, a common approach is to backtest signals based on volatility thresholds. For example, one could assess the effectiveness of entering a position following a 10% drawdown from a recent peak or a single-day decline of 10% or more. These thresholds may serve as triggers to initiate trades, with stop-loss and take-profit levels defined based on historical price patterns and risk parameters. The goal is to determine whether such a strategy would have yielded profitable outcomes over a given period.