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On SEP 3 2025, LUMIA dropped by 130.72% within 24 hours to reach $0.276, LUMIA rose by 342.47% within 7 days, dropped by 226.54% within 1 month, and dropped by 7705.17% within 1 year.
LUMIA has shown an erratic price performance over the past 24 hours, with the token experiencing a steep decline that stands as the largest single-day drop since the start of 2025. This sharp movement contrasts with a 7-day gain of 342.47%, suggesting that the recent plunge may have occurred after a period of rapid appreciation. The token’s trajectory over the past month has also been negative, with a 226.54% decline, and over the year, it has lost nearly 7700% of its value. These figures illustrate a highly volatile market environment for LUMIA.
The token’s 24-hour performance was marked by an unusually steep decline, far outpacing its 7-day performance. Analysts have noted the disparity between the short-term gains and the long-term losses, pointing to possible market corrections or shifts in investor sentiment. While no official announcements have been made by the LUMIA project, the market activity has drawn attention from traders and analysts tracking the token’s unusual movement.
Technical analysis of LUMIA's chart has highlighted the presence of key indicators that may have contributed to the recent volatility. The token’s price has broken below key support levels, triggering stop-loss orders and increasing downward pressure. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has also shown signs of overselling, which may indicate a potential short-term reversal. However, with the price remaining in a bearish trend, the market remains cautious about any near-term recovery.
Backtest Hypothesis
In light of LUMIA’s recent technical behavior, a proposed backtesting strategy aims to identify optimal entry and exit points based on historical price patterns. The hypothesis evaluates whether a trend-following approach—using moving averages and RSI divergence—can consistently generate returns during similar volatility events. The strategy involves entering long positions when the 50-period and 200-period moving averages cross, combined with confirmation from RSI readings indicating oversold conditions. Exit points are determined when the RSI shows divergence or when the short-term moving average flattens or reverses. The effectiveness of this strategy will be tested using historical data to simulate outcomes during past volatility spikes similar to the recent LUMIA drop.
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