Lululemon Slides to 199th in Trading Volume as Burry’s 2.1 Portfolio Bet Backs Struggling Athleisure Brand Amid Earnings Woes

Generated by AI AgentAinvest Market Brief
Thursday, Aug 21, 2025 7:51 pm ET1min read
LULU--
Aime RobotAime Summary

- Lululemon's August 21 trading volume fell 25.86% to $0.42B, ranking 199th despite a 0.03% price rise amid market uncertainty.

- Michael Burry's Scion added 50,000 shares ($11.9M) to its Q2 2025 portfolio, a 2.1% position signaling support for the struggling athleisure brand.

- Q1 earnings revealed 2% U.S. sales decline, $1.7B inventory surge, and reduced EPS guidance to $14.58–$14.78 due to macroeconomic pressures.

- Analysts remain split (13 "Strong Buy," 13 "Hold") with a $289.72 average target, though margins have contracted to 58.3% gross and 18.5% operating.

On August 21, 2025, LululemonLULU-- (LULU) traded with a volume of $0.42 billion, a 25.86% decline from the previous day, ranking 199th in market activity. The stock closed 0.03% higher, reflecting limited short-term momentum amid broader market uncertainty.

Michael Burry’s Scion Asset Management has positioned Lululemon as a key holding in its second-quarter 2025 portfolio, acquiring 50,000 shares valued at $11.9 million. The move, a 2.1% weighting in Burry’s strategy, signals confidence in the athleisure brand despite its recent struggles. This follows Lululemon’s Q1 earnings report, which revealed a 2% decline in Americas comparable sales and a 23% year-over-year inventory increase to $1.7 billion, raising concerns about markdown risks. The company also cut its full-year EPS guidance to $14.58–$14.78 from $14.95–$15.15, citing macroeconomic pressures and tariff impacts.

Analysts remain divided, with a “Moderate Buy” consensus rating. Of 31 analysts, 13 advocate “Strong Buy,” while 13 recommend “Hold.” The average price target of $289.72 implies a 47% upside from current levels. Lululemon’s valuation has contracted to 14 times forward earnings, well below the sector median and its five-year average, potentially attracting value-focused investors. However, challenges persist: gross margins have narrowed to 58.3%, operating margins fell to 18.5%, and U.S. discretionary spending remains subdued.

A backtest of a strategy buying the top 500 stocks by daily trading volume and holding for one day from 2022 to 2025 yielded a 6.98% annualized return, with a maximum drawdown of 15.59%. The approach showed steady growth but highlighted risks during mid-2023’s sharp decline, underscoring the need for risk mitigation in high-volume trading strategies.

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