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Bitcoin’s (BTC) Real Floor Is Stronger Than You Think: Here’s Why
Recent on-chain data and analytical frameworks suggest that Bitcoin’s price floor is more resilient than commonly perceived, driven by the accumulation behavior of long-term investors. Metrics such as the Long Term Holder (LTH) Realized Price and the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) offer insights into the cost bases of investors who have held
for extended periods, typically 155 days or more. These investors are less influenced by short-term market volatility and are often seen as key stabilizers of the asset’s price during bearish phases [1].The LTH Realized Price reflects the average price at which long-term holders have accumulated Bitcoin. This metric is particularly telling in identifying support levels, as it demonstrates where long-term investors are willing to add to their positions. During market downturns, this price level often acts as a floor, reinforcing the market's confidence in Bitcoin as a long-term store of value [1]. It highlights the underlying strength of Bitcoin’s investor base, which is less susceptible to panic selling and more focused on long-horizon value.
On-chain data further supports the idea that Bitcoin is currently above key support levels. According to on-chain analysis from crypto analyst Ali Martinez, Bitcoin’s URPD metric indicates three critical support levels at $108,250, $104,250, and $97,050. These levels represent price ranges where over 400,000 coins were purchased, indicating a significant amount of investor cost basis. This suggests that should the price retest these levels, there may be considerable buying interest from those with unrealized gains or strategic accumulation intentions [2].
The distribution of these cost bases also highlights the importance of investor psychology and behavior in shaping Bitcoin’s price. Price levels with high concentrations of cost basis typically act as support zones, as investors are more likely to reinforce their positions or re-enter the market at these levels. Conversely, resistance zones, such as the identified $116,963 level, could experience downward pressure if a large number of investors with cost bases in that range decide to take profits [2].
The current Bitcoin price, as of the latest data, stands at approximately $110,628. This price point has shown minimal movement over the past 24 hours, but positive momentum is evident in the past seven days, with the asset posting a rise of over 1%. Analysts note that while the market remains in a holding pattern, the underlying accumulation activity and the presence of strong support levels continue to signal a resilient floor for Bitcoin [2]. This dynamic is particularly relevant for both institutional and retail investors seeking to gauge the market’s next potential move.
Source:
[1] Bitcoin Long Term Holder Realized Price (https://newhedge.io/bitcoin/long-term-holder-realized-price)
[2] On-Chain Data Reveals Critical Support Levels For Bitcoin ... (https://www.mitrade.com/insights/news/live-news/article-3-1102430-20250908)

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