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Lithium Miner Arcadium Confirms Rio Tinto Takeover Approach

AInvestSunday, Oct 6, 2024 6:01 pm ET
1min read
Arcadium Lithium Plc, a leading global lithium miner, has confirmed that it has received a takeover approach from Anglo-Australian mining giant Rio Tinto. This development comes amidst a wave of deal interest in the critical minerals sector, as companies scramble to secure supplies for the global energy transition. The potential acquisition would make Rio Tinto the third-largest producer of lithium, the key component in electric vehicle (EV) batteries.

Arcadium's global presence and customer base, which includes major automakers such as Tesla, BMW, and General Motors, would complement Rio Tinto's existing operations. The acquisition would provide Rio Tinto with access to lithium mines, processing facilities, and deposits across four continents, fueling decades of growth in the burgeoning EV market.

Arcadium's expertise in direct lithium extraction (DLE) would also enhance Rio Tinto's capabilities in the lithium market. DLE is a growing segment of the lithium industry that aims to mechanically filter the metal from brines without the need for evaporation ponds. Arcadium has successfully used DLE since the 1990s and is widely regarded as a global expert in the field.

The acquisition would also enable Rio Tinto to gain a foothold in the growing EV battery market. As demand for lithium surges later this decade, driven by the increasing use of lithium-ion batteries in EVs and consumer electronics, Rio Tinto would be well-positioned to capitalize on this trend.

However, the deal is not without its challenges. Rio Tinto faces strong opposition in Serbia to its proposed Jadar mine, which has the potential to supply much of Europe's needs of the battery metal. Local community members have repeatedly pressured Belgrade to block the project, which could hinder Rio Tinto's expansion plans.

The recent slump in lithium prices, due in part to Chinese oversupply, has pushed Arcadium's shares down more than 50% since January, making it an attractive takeover target. However, a shareholder of Arcadium, Blackwattle Investment Partners Pty, has written to the board urging it not to accept a low takeover offer. The investor believes that the global lithium market appears to have bottomed, and any sale price should be near $8 billion, significantly higher than the reported valuation of between $4 billion to $6 billion.

In conclusion, the potential acquisition of Arcadium by Rio Tinto would vault the mining giant into one of the world's largest suppliers of lithium, just as demand is expected to surge later this decade. However, the deal faces regulatory and environmental hurdles, as well as shareholder resistance. As the global lithium market continues to evolve, the outcome of this takeover approach will have significant implications for the supply and demand dynamics of lithium, as well as the pricing strategies and market positioning of other major lithium producers.
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