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Summary
• LTCJPY formed a bullish engulfing pattern at 12203 after a 5-hour consolidation.
• Price tested and rebounded from a 50-period 5-minute MA, suggesting short-term support.
• MACD divergence and RSI below 30 suggest oversold conditions near 12157.
• Volatility expanded after 23:30 ET as price surged toward 12340.
• Volume spiked during the 12340 high, but declined afterward, indicating possible exhaustion.
Litecoin/Yen (LTCJPY) opened at 12236 on 2025-12-30 at 12:00 ET and closed at 12186 on 2025-12-31 at 12:00 ET, with a high of 12340 and low of 12157. Total volume for the 24-hour period was 329.962, and notional turnover reached 3,938,369.30.
Structure & Moving Averages
Price action showed a sharp rebound off 12203, forming a bullish engulfing pattern on the 5-minute chart, which may signal a short-term reversal. A 50-period moving average at 12210–12215 appeared to act as support, while the 20-period MA oscillated above and below the price.

Momentum and Volatility
MACD showed a bearish divergence toward the end of the 24-hour period, with a negative histogram despite a slight price recovery. RSI dropped below 30 during the intraday dip to 12157, suggesting oversold conditions that may not yet trigger a strong rebound. Bollinger Bands showed moderate expansion after the 12340 high, with price closing near the upper band at the session’s peak but retracting into the middle band by the close.
Volume and Turnover Analysis
Volume spiked sharply around the 12340 high, with a 5-minute candle showing 4.244 volume and 52,371.512 turnover. This indicates strong buying interest but was followed by a rapid decline in both metrics, suggesting possible exhaustion. In contrast, volume remained subdued during the retracement to 12157, hinting at limited short-covering or bearish follow-through.
Fibonacci Levels and Key Levels
Fibonacci retracement levels from the 12157 to 12340 swing showed the 61.8% level at approximately 12266 as resistance and 38.2% at 12225 as support. Price held above the 38.2% level during the final hours, which may imply short-term stability. On the daily chart, a key support appears at 12170, with a strong bearish trend likely if it breaks.
Over the next 24 hours, LTCJPY may test the 12266 resistance for a potential breakout or consolidate within the 12170–12225 range. Traders should remain cautious, as divergence in momentum indicators and mixed volume signals could lead to volatile reversals.
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