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Lennox International (LII) closed at $570.54 on August 25, marking a 3.61% decline with a trading volume of $230 million. The stock remains in a correction phase initiated in late July, characterized by bearish technical indicators and key support levels under pressure. Market participants are closely monitoring its proximity to the $567.14 level, the August 21 intraday low, as a breakdown could signal further downside.
Technical analysis highlights a death cross pattern, with the 50-day moving average crossing below the 200-day average in mid-August. The current price lags 3.6% below the 50-day MA, while the 100-day MA (~$615) acts as a ceiling for potential rebounds.
Bands have expanded 22% since the selloff began, reflecting heightened volatility and reinforcing the likelihood of continued directional movement. A sustained close above $587, the 20-day simple moving average, would indicate near-term stabilization.Candlestick patterns reinforce bearish sentiment, with the August 25 session forming a long-bodied red candle following a failed hammer pattern on August 22. Volume distribution trends also favor downside continuation, as recent declines occur on declining participation compared to the August 20 selloff, which saw the highest two-month volume. The RSI reading of 32.5 suggests oversold conditions but lacks bullish divergence, while KDJ indicators remain in oversold territory without clear reversal signals.
A backtest of a strategy purchasing the top 500 volume-driven stocks and holding them for one day from 2022 yielded a 31.52% total return over 365 days. The approach generated a 0.98% average daily return, with peak performance in June 2023 (+7.02%) and a low in September 2022 (-4.65%). While volatile, the strategy maintained a positive trend, underscoring its appeal for short-term traders seeking momentum opportunities.

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