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On July 1, 2025, Ledn, a major lending platform, announced its transition to a 100% Bitcoin-focused company, discontinuing support for other cryptocurrencies. This move aligns with the growing trend of Bitcoin-mania but also presents new challenges for the
lending market. Ledn's decision to focus solely on Bitcoin lending is seen as a simplification of its product offerings, aiming to excel in this specific area. This shift is well-received by Bitcoin maximalists, who advocate for Bitcoin as the only credible cryptocurrency.Ledn's co-founder, Adam Reeds, described this transition as a return to the company's roots. The platform had previously cited risk management as a reason for halting the use of clients’ assets for yield farming, opting instead to keep assets with Ledn or its partners. This strategic move is part of a broader trend where corporations, institutions, and governments are increasingly focusing on Bitcoin, which could have both positive and negative impacts on the Bitcoin lending market.
Historically, the Bitcoin lending sector has faced turbulence, with notable platforms like
, BlockFi, , and Genius shutting down in 2022. However, Ledn remains optimistic about the future, particularly with the Trump Administration's efforts to make the crypto business less restrictive. One significant move was the repeal of the SAB 121, a controversial 2022 rule that made crypto custody challenging. This regulatory change is expected to benefit Bitcoin-backed loan ventures.Another trend supporting Bitcoin lending is the accumulation of Bitcoin by various entities. Companies like Strategy, Nakamoto, and Metaplanet, along with governments and institutional custodians like
and Fidelity, are buying Bitcoin in bulk. This accumulation locks large amounts of Bitcoin out of the market, stabilizing the lower edge of the Bitcoin price and creating a favorable environment for Bitcoin lending companies. The increase in institutional investors is also crucial for lending ventures, as they bring more dollars into the sector, enabling more operations for a broader audience.Bitcoin derivatives markets, which rely on Bitcoin lending, also contribute to price stability. Ledn co-founder Mauricio Di Bartolomeo highlighted that Bitcoin lending reduces price volatility, tightens spreads, and improves the health of spot short markets used as hedges. This stability is essential for the market's overall health and supports the growth of Bitcoin lending companies.
However, the heavy demand for Bitcoin poses new threats to the lending sector. Individuals and institutions are reluctant to sell their Bitcoin, preferring to accumulate as much as possible. This behavior, combined with the actions of Bitcoin treasury companies, asset management firms, and governments, effectively devours liquidity. At some point, lending companies may face a Bitcoin deficit, leading to increased borrow rates on spot short markets, reduced short interest, and less value clarity. This situation could increase volatility and make shorting on futures markets unprofitable and riskier.
As the short market shrinks and borrowing Bitcoin becomes expensive, the options market liquidity will drop. Arbitrage trading will become less flexible, potentially distorting futures market prices due to higher discrepancies from the spot market. On the individual side, these problems increase exposure to counterparty risk, trust-reliance, and the need for leverage, ironically contradicting Bitcoin's original intent to mitigate these risks.
The crypto market and the broader financial market have complex structures, and every action contributes to various impacts, both positive and negative. Heavy demand for Bitcoin by institutions, corporations, and governments may make it hard to borrow Bitcoin, negatively impacting derivatives markets and leading to price volatility and liquidations on spot short markets. This could exacerbate issues for actors depending on Bitcoin reserves, creating a vicious cycle. However, as the Bitcoin price stabilizes and regulations become more favorable, there is hope for a positive scenario.
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