KSMUSDT Breaks Key Support as Bearish Divergence Deepens

Summary
• KSMUSDT broke below key support at $5.20, with bearish momentum accelerating in late trading hours.
• Volume surged near the 20-period moving average as price collapsed, hinting at a potential short-term reversal.
• RSI entered oversold territory near 28, suggesting a pullback could be near, though a rebound remains uncertain.
• Bollinger Bands widened during the selloff, reflecting increased volatility amid bearish sentiment.

Kusama/Tether (KSMUSDT) opened at $5.31 on 2026-02-25 at 12:00 ET, surged to $5.45, then dropped to $4.97, and closed at $4.98 on 2026-02-26 at 12:00 ET. Total volume was 125,950.29 KSM, and turnover reached $649,015.87 USD.

The 24-hour period saw a pronounced bearish shift as KSMUSDT collapsed below key support levels, breaking down from the 5.30–5.40 range into a new 24-hour low. A large bearish engulfing pattern formed at 20:00 ET, signaling a short-term reversal. Price action then accelerated downward, with a gap forming below 5.10 as RSI hit oversold levels. The 20-period and 50-period moving averages acted as dynamic resistance, with price failing to close above either in the last 5 hours.

Bollinger Bands expanded significantly during the selloff, indicating heightened volatility. A potential bounce from the 5.05–5.10 range is possible as this area now represents a short-term floor. However, a failure to hold above 5.05 could open the door to further downside, targeting the 4.90–4.85 Fibonacci extension levels from the recent high of 5.45.

MACD showed bearish divergence with a negative crossover and a weakening histogram, reinforcing the downward bias. Volume spiked during the late-day breakdown, confirming the bearish move, though declining turnover in the final hours suggests momentum is waning.

In the next 24 hours, a retest of the 5.05–5.10 range may offer a near-term pivot. However, a break below 5.05 could signal deeper weakness. Investors should watch for a potential short-covering rally, but bearish conditions remain intact until a strong reversal forms above 5.20.