KLA Climbs 0.97% on $754M Top-Volume Rally Despite Bearish 3-Month Forecast and Analysts Warn of Trend Reversal Risks

KLA (KLAC) rose 0.97% on August 18, 2025, with a trading volume of $754.05 million, down 58.88% from the prior day. The stock closed at $883.39 after fluctuating between $870.43 and $883.76. Despite a 7-day gain, the 3-month forecast remains bearish, with mixed signals from technical indicators and a sell signal from moving averages.

Analysts highlight divergences between price gains and declining volume, raising concerns about potential trend reversals. Key support levels at $879.03 and resistance at $886.64 are critical for near-term direction. A break below $877.44 could signal a slowdown, while a move above $914.14 might trigger buy signals. However, the stock’s proximity to resistance and lack of strong volume suggest cautious positioning ahead of the next trading day.

The ex-dividend date of August 18 saw a $1.90 per share payout, supported by $10.5 billion in revenue and $3.39 billion in net income. Historical data indicates a 100% probability of price recovery within 15 days post-ex-dividend, reflecting strong institutional confidence in KLA’s fundamentals and operational leverage.

A backtested strategy of buying top-volume stocks and holding for one day from 2022 to 2025 yielded a 31.52% total return over 365 days, with an average 0.98% daily gain. This suggests short-term momentum capture potential, though market volatility and timing risks remain significant factors.