KKR Valuation: Strong 2024 Performance Supports Fair Market Price

Tuesday, Jan 21, 2025 5:04 am ET1min read

KKR's shares are fairly priced after a strong 2024, with the firm's high 2025 P/E hopes not justified. The company's inclusion in the S&P 500 has contributed to its recent performance. However, its P/E ratio is above the industry average and its valuation is rich compared to peers.

KKR's shares, trading at a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, have been subject to scrutiny amidst concerns about their fair value. The firm's strong 2024 performance and inclusion in the S&P 500 have contributed to this upward trend. However, a closer look at KKR's valuation reveals that its P/E ratio is above the industry average and its shares are overvalued compared to peers.

According to GuruFocus, the S&P 500 P/E ratio, a measure of how the market values the index's constituent companies relative to their earnings, stood at 29.096 as of January 10, 2025. This is significantly higher than the median value of 17.93 and above the typical value range of 20.62 to 28.66 [1]. KKR's current P/E ratio of 32.2 [2] places it above this benchmark, indicating that the market is willing to pay a premium for the company's earnings.

Moreover, Morningstar, a leading provider of investment research, calculates market valuation based on the median price/fair value of its constituent companies [2]. Using this methodology, KKR's shares are considered overvalued, as their current price is higher than their estimated intrinsic value.

The current market environment, characterized by low interest rates and a strong economy, has fueled a surge in stock prices and contributed to elevated valuations. However, as the market begins to revert to historical norms, investors may reevaluate their holdings and seek out companies with more reasonable valuations.

In conclusion, while KKR's strong 2024 performance and inclusion in the S&P 500 have contributed to its upward trend, a closer look at its valuation reveals that its shares are overvalued compared to peers. As the market begins to revert to historical norms, investors may reconsider their holdings in the company and seek out more reasonably valued alternatives.

[1] GuruFocus. (2025, January 10). S&P 500 PE Ratio. Retrieved from https://www.gurufocus.com/economic_indicators/57/sp-500-pe-ratio
[2] Morningstar. (n.d.). Market valuation. Retrieved from https://www.morningstar.com/markets/fair-value

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