Kaspa Report: November Outperforms July, August as KAS's Strongest Month

A newly released analysis has upended long-held assumptions about the performance of Kaspa (KAS), revealing that November historically outperforms July and August as the token’s strongest month. The findings, published by Kaspa Report on July 25, 2025, challenge the prevailing belief that summer months drive the cryptocurrency’s most significant gains. Using price data up to July 25, 2025, the report identified November as the period with the most consistent positive returns for KAS, based on a color-coded chart where darker green shades indicate higher gains compared to zero [1].

The data visualization, accessible via a dedicated chart and shared on X, aggregates historical price movements from TradingView and Kaspa’s own records. Notably, the analysis converts returns into U.S. dollars and highlights a declining trend in percentage gains over time, a pattern attributed to standard market dynamics rather than inflationary pressures. While July has traditionally been considered bullish for Kaspa, the report emphasizes that November’s consistent outperformance—measured by repeated positive returns—deserves equal, if not greater, attention. Analysts caution, however, that historical data does not guarantee future outcomes [1].

The findings have sparked renewed interest in seasonal trading strategies for KAS. Kaspa Report plans to update the chart monthly, with future versions potentially tracking returns in Bitcoin as well. The current version excludes 2021 due to incomplete data near Kaspa’s genesis block. Meanwhile, the platform aims to consolidate all related infographics on Kaspa.Report, currently under development. The mobile-optimized design prioritizes readability, though it omits 2021 entirely for clarity [1].

Despite the bullish November trend, the broader market context remains mixed. CoinCodex’s July 23 price prediction warns of a potential 25.63% decline in KAS by August 22, 2025, projecting a drop to $0.075132 [2]. This forecast aligns with typical cryptocurrency volatility but contrasts with the historical strength observed in November. Similarly, a separate report by Anisha Pandey notes a 14.6% surge in KAS ahead of an August 31 smart contract launch, which could influence short-term speculation [4]. These conflicting signals underscore the challenges of relying solely on historical patterns in a rapidly shifting market.

Kaspa’s current fundamentals add complexity to the analysis. As of July 25, 2025, the token had gained 27.13% over the past month, with a market cap of $2.6 billion and a circulating supply of 26.49 billion tokens. However, a 3.76% decline in the last 24 hours highlights its volatility (12.79%) and supply inflation rate (11.54%) as persistent risks [3]. Investors must weigh these factors against both the historical November trend and near-term forecasts, particularly as macroeconomic conditions and regulatory developments remain unpredictable.

The analysis underscores a critical tension for KAS holders: balancing historical seasonality with immediate market dynamics. While November’s past outperformance suggests a recurring opportunity, CoinCodex’s bearish outlook and the upcoming smart contract launch highlight the need for caution. Investors are advised to monitor the August 31 event closely, alongside broader market trends, to determine whether historical patterns persist or if new fundamentals emerge [2][4].

The Kaspa Report’s commitment to transparent, data-driven insights reflects growing demand for accessible tools in crypto trading. By regularly updating its analysis and expanding its methodology, the platform aims to equip investors with actionable context. Whether the November trend continues or evolves, the release of this data marks a step toward more informed decision-making in a market where timing and adaptability remain key.

Sources:

[1] [New Data Reveals Kaspa Strongest Month: It’s Not July or August](https://captainaltcoin.com/new-data-reveals-kaspas-strongest-month-its-not-july-or-august/)

[2] [Kaspa (KAS) Price Prediction 2025, 2026-2030](https://coincodex.com/crypto/kaspa/price-prediction/)

[3] [Kaspa Price Chart & Market Cap](https://coincodex.com/crypto/kaspa/)

[4] [Anisha Pandey - Kaspa (KAS) Price Hits 2-Month High Ahead of August 31 Smart Contract Debut](https://coinedition.com/author/anisha-pandey/)