Kaspa (KAS) Price Prediction for August 28, 2025: Navigating Bearish Momentum and On-Chain Signals

Kaspa (KAS) entered August 28, 2025, amid a complex mix of bearish technical signals and moderate on-chain activity, creating a challenging environment for short-term investors. While the cryptocurrency’s price had risen 4% in the previous 24 hours to $0.0899, broader trends suggest a fragile recovery. The 24-hour trading volume of $48.8 million—a 13% monthly decline—indicates waning buyer enthusiasm, even as the network processes 10 blocks per second, underscoring its high-performance infrastructure [1].

Short-Term Technical Deterioration

The weekly chart for KAS reveals a cluster of bearish candlestick patterns, including a bearish engulfing formation, a hanging man, and a dark cloud cover, all signaling potential capitulation near the $0.084 support level [2]. These patterns align with the 14-day RSI (46.71) and MACD (-0.001), which confirm a neutral-to-bearish sentiment. The price remains below critical moving averages: the 50-day SMA ($0.0921) and 200-day SMA ($0.1033), reinforcing a downtrend [3]. Analysts project a breakdown below $0.084 could target $0.080, while a bullish breakout above $0.092 might push the price toward $0.095 [2].

On-Chain Activity and Network Health

Kaspa’s on-chain metrics tell a mixed story. While the network’s geometrically decreasing block reward emissions and parallel block processing capabilities highlight long-term scalability [4], recent Transaction Fee Revenue (TFR) data shows inconsistency. For instance, trading volumes on August 27–28 fluctuated between $41.4 million and $53.3 million, reflecting uneven demand [2]. The absence of a clear Network Value to Transaction (NVT) ratio for the past 30 days complicates valuation analysis, but the current NVT (calculated as $2.26 billion market cap divided by $48.8 million 24-hour transaction volume) suggests a ratio of ~46. This is relatively low compared to Bitcoin’s historical NVT of 100–150, potentially indicating undervaluation [3].

Strategic Implications

Investors must weigh the immediate bearish bias against Kaspa’s foundational strengths. The Crescendo upgrade and layer-2 development roadmap could catalyze a rebound if the price stabilizes above $0.082. However, short-term forecasts from 30Rates and CoinCodex anticipate a decline to $0.0675 by September 1, a 23% drop from current levels [3]. This projection hinges on weak volume and a failure to break out of the $0.082–$0.095 range.

For traders, key entry points may emerge if KAS tests the $0.080 level, where a rebound could retest the $0.084 support. Conversely, a sustained move above $0.092 would signal renewed bullish momentum. Given the mixed signals, a cautious approach—prioritizing risk management and position sizing—is advisable.

Conclusion

Kaspa’s short-term outlook remains bearish, driven by technical deterioration and declining trading volumes. While on-chain metrics like block throughput and TFR suggest resilience, the lack of a robust NVT ratio and bearish momentum indicators paint a cautionary picture. Investors should monitor the $0.082 support level and the 50-day SMA as critical inflection points. For now, patience and a focus on liquidity management appear to be the most prudent strategies.

**Source:[1] KASPA (KAS) - Kaspa price today, KAS to USD live..., [https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/kaspa/][2] Kaspa (KAS) Price Prediction and Strategic Entry/Exit Points, [https://www.ainvest.com/news/kaspa-kas-price-prediction-strategic-entry-exit-points-august-22-2025-navigating-bearish-signals-volatile-market-2508/][3] KAS Price Estimated to Drop to $ 0.067577 By Sep 01, 2025, [https://coincodex.com/article/72168/kaspa-prediction-august-27-2025/][4] Kaspa price today, KAS to USD live price, marketcap ..., [https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/kaspa/]