Kaspa (KAS) Faces Bearish Momentum Amid Oversold Conditions and Weak Market Sentiment

Generated by AI AgentCoinSageReviewed byTianhao Xu
Tuesday, Feb 3, 2026 2:42 pm ET3min read
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Aime RobotAime Summary

- Kaspa (KAS) trades at $0.0325, below all major moving averages, signaling bearish momentum across timeframes.

- Extreme fear (Fear & Greed Index 20) and 25/27 bearish indicators confirm oversold conditions without price reversal.

- Long-term bearish trend (-72.77% YoY) persists with projected $0.029398 target by Feb 2026 despite industrial expansion.

- Tight $0.0315-$0.0355 range expected as frozen supply (18% 2+ year holdings) limits liquidity and reinforces seller control.

  • Kaspa (KAS) is currently trading at $0.0325, significantly below its 20, 50, and 200-day moving averages, indicating short-, medium-, and long-term bearish momentum according to technical analysis.
  • The Fear & Greed index for Kaspa is at 20, indicating extreme fear among investors, with 25 out of 27 technical indicators showing bearish signals as reported.
  • Key resistance levels for Kaspa include $0.0410, while support levels are at $0.037796, $0.036638, and $0.035348, all of which remain untested according to analysis.

Kaspa has shown continued weakness in recent trading sessions, with a 7.96% drop in the latest session. The price fell after a gap down from the previous close of $0.0353 to an open of $0.0332. This has reinforced bearish sentiment and ongoing selling pressure according to technical indicators.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Kaspa is at 23.8, indicating an oversold condition, but this has not triggered a reversal in price. The Stochastic RSI and Commodity Channel Index (CCI) also show oversold conditions, with Bull/Bear Power and the Awesome Oscillator confirming bearish momentum as observed.

Technical indicators like the MACD, RSI, and ADXADX-- confirm entrenched bearish sentiment and high volatility according to analysis. Kaspa is currently expected to trade within a narrow range of $0.0315 to $0.0355 for the coming week, keeping the price within roughly ±6% of the current level according to projections.

The baseline forecast for Kaspa is continued sideways movement within a narrow range, with a very low probability (less than 20%) of an upward reversal according to analysis. The bullish scenario anticipates a quick break above the $0.0410 resistance level, which would require a significant momentum shift. Conversely, the bearish scenario sees a move below $0.0315, opening up further downside as sellers retain control according to technical analysis.

Analysts note that sentiment remains weak as the market focuses on Kaspa's innovative technology, but lacks fresh fundamental drivers or regulatory catalysts to shift momentum according to reports. Constructive volatility is present, but buyers have not regained control. The baseline scenario points to continued sideways movement within a narrow range.

If sentiment shifts and KAS breaks above $0.0410, a bullish reversal could quickly materialize, so analysts are watching for improvement in momentum and community confidence according to technical analysis. Previously it was reported that Kaspa is experiencing persistent selling pressure, with the price trading well below key moving averages and facing dynamic resistance while lacking nearby support according to market data.

The long-term performance of Kaspa has been bearish, with a -72.77% drop over the last year according to analysis. The price is expected to drop to $0.029398 by Feb 5, 2026, according to the prediction model.

Kaspa is entering a unique structural phase as on-chain metrics show 18% of the supply has been held for over two years. This record level of 'frozen' tokens suggests that a large portion of the community is ignoring short-term market noise, significantly tightening the liquid supply on exchanges according to on-chain data.

Beyond price action, Kaspa is expanding its utility through the Kaspa Industrial Initiative (KII) and the K-Social platform. By focusing on regulated industries and censorship-resistant communication, the project is maturing into a versatile infrastructure play according to project documentation.

These technical advancements, combined with a shrinking available supply, create a strong fundamental backdrop even while the Kaspa price tests local support levels according to analysis. For those monitoring top crypto coins, Kaspa represents a blend of extreme holder loyalty and industrial-grade development.

The current market environment proves that longevity and innovation are the only true paths to success. While the Kaspa price benefits from a 'frozen' supply, the broader crypto sector is experiencing volatility as well according to market analysis.

Bitcoin HyperHYPER-- (HYPER) is positioning itself as a BitcoinBTC-- Layer 2 solution that enables fast and low-cost transactions for decentralized apps, aiming to scale Bitcoin's usage in DeFi and dApps without compromising speed or cost according to project description. The project has raised $31 million in its presale and offers a staking APY of 38% to early supporters according to official data.

Bitcoin Hyper's low entry price and strong presale performance suggest it has captured interest from both retail and smart money investors according to market analysis. Analysts project that the token could deliver a 100x to 135x return by Q3 2026, turning a $1,000 investment into over $134,350 if the project meets its goals according to forecasts.

MOLT is the native token for Moltbook, a Base-chain AI social network where humans only observe AI interactions according to project details. The token has a fixed supply of 1 billion tokens, with a deflationary burn mechanism embedded in every transaction, reducing circulating supply over time according to technical specifications.

Token utility includes a transaction medium, user incentives, and future governance rights according to platform documentation. Analysts from MEXC and WEEX anticipate a price range of $0.015–$0.025 by 2026, based on factors like Base blockchain advantages, growing AI-crypto narratives, and potential NFT integrations according to market analysis.

MOLT's price movements are highly volatile and sensitive to social media influence and market sentiment according to trading data.

PSYOPANIME combines Japanese anime culture with cryptocurrency, creating a memeMEME-- coin with community-driven governance according to project description. It operates on a fixed supply model, with a distribution plan that includes liquidity reserves, community rewards, and team vesting according to tokenomics.

The token is designed for viral spread through social media and appeals to anime enthusiasts and crypto investors according to community feedback. MEXC provides zero-fee trading for PSYOPANIME, along with deep liquidity and fast listing capabilities according to platform features.

The platform also ensures security through 100% reserve proof and multi-layer security mechanisms according to security reports.

CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju suggests that Bitcoin may consolidate sideways rather than experience a sudden crash, as new capital inflow slows and selling pressure persists according to market analysis. This outlook is based on the observation that new capital inflows into the market are slowing, which could lead to extended periods of price stability while pressure from existing holders continues according to technical analysis.

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CoinSage

Blending traditional trading wisdom with cutting-edge cryptocurrency insights.

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