KAITO Market Overview: 24-Hour Analysis for 2025-08-25

• KAITO/USDT declined 7.8% in 24 hours, with a sharp sell-off during the Asian session.
• A bearish engulfing pattern formed at 1.1333, signaling a key reversal failed.
• Volatility expanded significantly after 19:45 ET, with volume surging above 682k.
• RSI dropped below 30 midday, indicating oversold conditions but no immediate rebound.
• Price remains below key 20- and 50-period moving averages on 15-minute charts.

KAITO opened at 1.1109 on 2025-08-24 12:00 ET and closed at 1.0436 on 2025-08-25 12:00 ET, with a high of 1.1684 and a low of 1.0462. The 24-hour volume for KAITOUSDT totaled 1,719,679.6 with a notional turnover of ~1,795,000 USD.

Structure & Formations

A bearish engulfing pattern emerged at 1.1333 on the 15-minute chart during the afternoon of 2025-08-24, followed by a sharp breakdown to sub-1.10 levels. A key support level appears to form around 1.0809–1.0901, where the price found temporary buying interest during the early hours of 2025-08-25. A double-bottom structure is developing near 1.0623–1.065, indicating potential short-term stability.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20- and 50-period moving averages are bearishly aligned, with the price remaining below both for the majority of the session. On the daily chart, KAITO is trading below the 50, 100, and 200-period moving averages, suggesting a continuation of the bearish trend.

MACD & RSI

The MACD histogram expanded negatively during the Asian session, reflecting strong bearish momentum, particularly after the 19:45 ET sell-off. RSI fell below 30 on 2025-08-25 10:30 ET, entering oversold territory but showing no immediate rebound. A weak bullish divergence formed late in the session, though it lacks conviction.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility expanded significantly after 19:45 ET, with the Bollinger Bands widening from ~1.13–1.135 to ~1.168–1.1333. Price spent most of the session in the lower band, with the 20-period moving average hovering near 1.08–1.09. A contraction phase occurred from 03:00 to 07:00 ET, preceding a modest rebound but no breakout above the upper band.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked above 682k during the 19:45 ET candle, coinciding with a breakdown of the 1.1333 level. A smaller but notable spike occurred at 07:00–08:00 ET as the price fell into the 1.0809–1.0901 range. Notional turnover moved in tandem with volume, confirming the sell-off, but diverged slightly during the late-day bounce, suggesting weak conviction.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci retracements to the 1.1333–1.0623 swing, key levels include 38.2% at ~1.105 and 61.8% at ~1.090. Price stalled near the 61.8% level, reinforcing its role as a short-term support zone. On the daily chart, the 61.8% retracement of the recent 1.25–1.045 swing sits at ~1.115, above which a breakout could re-ignite bullish momentum.

KAITO may consolidate near 1.06–1.08 in the short term, with a potential test of the 1.0809–1.0901 zone. A rebound above 1.105 could reignite bearish concerns, while a close above 1.115 may indicate a resumption of the broader downtrend. Investors should remain cautious of further volatility and potential breakouts.