JPMorgan Sees 6,000 S&P 500 as Trade Uncertainties Fade

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Thursday, Sep 18, 2025 12:18 pm ET1min read
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- JPMorgan forecasts S&P 500 to reach 6,000 by 2025H2, driven by double-digit corporate earnings growth.

- Strong fundamentals and reaccelerating profit margins underpin optimism despite trade policy uncertainties.

- U.S. and global economies maintained trend growth in H1 2025 amid major trade policy shifts.

- Analysts expect fading trade uncertainties to support market resilience as corporate performance strengthens.

JPMorgan has issued a bullish forecast for U.S. stocks in the second half of 2025, citing robust earnings growth and a resilient corporate sector amid ongoing trade policy shifts. The firm anticipates the S&P 500 to close near 6,000 by year-end, supported by double-digit earnings growth. This projection is underpinned by the expectation of strong corporate fundamentals, which are projected to reaccelerate to around 12–13% next year.

The global economic outlook remains clouded by uncertainties, particularly from U.S. trade policy. JPMorganJPM-- economists note that the U.S. and global economies expanded at a trend-like pace in the first half of the year, but recent developments, including major shifts in U.S. trade policy

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