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Here’s what traders need to know:
is sitting at a crossroads. Options positioning and technicals align on a bullish bias, but the stock remains trapped between its 30-day support/resistance cluster ($307.28–$307.72) and the 200-day MA ($273.21). The key question isn’t if will move—it’s when the next leg higher will break through its near-term ceiling. Let’s break down the data to find the answer.Bullish Imbalance at $310–$315 Calls: A Playbook for BreakoutsThe options market is whispering “all-in on the upside.” For Friday’s expiry, the top OTM call strikes ($310, $315) hold combined open interest (OI) of 5,693 contracts—nearly double the next highest call ($305). This isn’t just noise: heavy OI at these strikes suggests institutional players are hedging or positioning for a price surge above $305.
Meanwhile, put OI is concentrated at $292.5 (2,909 contracts), a level that would represent a ~3.3% drop from current prices. The near-1:1 put/call ratio (1.004) for open interest shows balanced sentiment, but the skew toward higher-strike calls implies a bias for upward movement.
The Risk? If JPM fails to break above $307.72 (30-day resistance), the $292.5 put-heavy zone could attract profit-taking, creating a volatile pullback. No major block trades complicate this picture—so far, no whales are moving the needle.No News, Just Numbers: Technicals Take Center StageThe lack of headline news means options activity is being driven by pure technical analysis. JPM’s price action is textbook: it’s trading above its 30-day MA ($307.10) but below the 100-day ($294.17) and 200-day ($273.21) averages. This creates a “bull trap” scenario where short-term buyers are active, but long-term investors remain cautious.
The RSI at 42.1 is neutral, but the MACD (-2.39) is approaching its signal line (-1.21). A crossover here would confirm momentum turning bullish. For now, the stock is stuck in Bollinger Bands’ middle band ($304.36), with the upper band ($316.96) feeling like a distant moonshot.
Actionable Trade Ideas: Calls, Puts, and Precision EntriesFor options traders:
For stock traders:
The data tells a clear story: JPM is primed for a directional move. The options market is already pricing in a $310+ scenario, and technical indicators are aligning to confirm it. But patience is key. Until the stock closes above $307.72, this remains a test of conviction.
For those willing to take the plunge, the $310 call (Friday expiry) offers a high-reward, low-risk setup if JPM’s bulls can push through resistance. And for the more cautious? A long stock position with a tight stop at $299.00 could let you ride the wave without overexposing your portfolio.
The next 72 hours will tell us if this is a fleeting rally or the start of something bigger. Either way, JPM’s options activity has already handed us a roadmap.

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