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On September 29, 2025,
(JPM) closed with a 0.12% decline, trading a volume of $2.01 billion, ranking 38th in the market. The stock’s performance coincided with broader market volatility, as investors weighed upcoming regulatory shifts and macroeconomic trends.JPMorgan’s 2025 M&A outlook highlights optimism driven by anticipated declines in interest rates and a more favorable regulatory environment. Executives across regions, including North America, EMEA, and APAC, emphasized that companies are revisiting stalled deals and preparing for increased transaction activity. Strategic consolidations, energy transition initiatives, and infrastructure monetizations are expected to dominate the landscape, though geopolitical tensions and inflation risks remain key uncertainties.
Regional insights underscored divergent dynamics: North American clients are accelerating large-scale transactions, while EMEA and APAC focus on cross-border opportunities and asset liquidity. Latin America’s M&A activity is projected to rise, fueled by Argentina’s economic recovery and Mexico’s expanding trade ties. Shareholder activism and governance trends also gained attention, with global board reshuffling and proxy season activity anticipated to intensify.
To run this back-test properly, I need to pin down a few details: market universe (e.g., U.S.-listed stocks), price conventions (close-to-close vs. open-to-open), portfolio weighting (equal-weight vs. dollar-volume), and assumptions about transaction costs. Once these parameters are defined, the data-collection plan can proceed.

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