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Here’s the takeaway: JPM’s options market and technicals align on a bullish bias, but traders must watch the $290 support level to avoid a reversal. Let’s break it down.
Bullish Calls at $315 and Bearish Puts at $290: A Battle for JPM’s DirectionOptions open interest tells a story of cautious optimism. For this Friday’s expiration, the $315 call (
) leads with 1,951 contracts, suggesting significant positioning for a breakout above current levels. Meanwhile, the $290 put () dominates with 2,294 contracts, indicating a belief that a drop below $290 would trigger defensive buying. The near-even put/call ratio (1.02) implies a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, but the higher call OI at key strikes tips the scale slightly bullish. The absence of block trades means no major institutional bets are skewing the data—this is retail and institutional retail-driven positioning.No Major News, But Technicals Dictate the NarrativeWith no recent headlines to anchor sentiment, the market is reacting to pure technical flow. JPM’s price action near the Bollinger Upper Band and above all major moving averages (30D, 100D, 200D) suggests a continuation of its bullish momentum. However, RSI’s neutral reading means there’s no immediate overbought warning—yet. Retail traders might be interpreting this as a "buy the dip" scenario, but institutional players could be hedging with the $290 put to protect against a pullback. The lack of news also means volatility is likely to hinge on broader market sentiment, not JPM-specific catalysts.
Actionable Trades: Calls for Aggressive Bulls, Puts for Cautious HedgesFor options traders, the JPM20251128C315 call is a high-conviction play if you believe
will close above $315 this Friday. With the stock already at $313.08, a push to the Bollinger Upper Band at $321.23 could trigger a short-term rally. For a safer bet, the (next Friday’s expiration) offers more time for the move to play out. On the bearish side, the JPM20251128P290 put is a defensive play to lock in downside protection, especially if the MACD histogram (-0.66) suggests momentum could wane.For stock traders, consider entering near $313 with a target at $321.23 (Bollinger Upper Band) or $315 (key resistance). A stop-loss below $308.24 (intraday low) would limit risk. If the stock dips to $290, it could present a low-risk entry for long-term bulls, but watch for a breakdown below $289.57 (200D support) to confirm a shift in trend.
Volatility on the Horizon: JPM Traders Weigh Short-Term Bullish Setup Against Caution at Key SupportJPM’s options market and technicals paint a picture of a stock poised for a breakout—but not without risks. The $315 call and $290 put strikes are critical battlegrounds. Bulls need to push above $315 to validate the bullish case, while a close below $290 would signal a shift in sentiment. With expiration day (Friday) approaching, traders have a clear roadmap:
the call premium for a short-term pop or hedge with puts to navigate the uncertainty. Either way, JPM’s next move will be defined by these key levels.
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