JP Morgan Raises MP Materials Price Target to $64.00, Maintains Neutral Rating

Monday, Jul 21, 2025 2:17 pm ET2min read

JP Morgan has raised MP Materials' price target from $18 to $64, a 255.56% increase, while maintaining a neutral rating. The updated target reflects positive momentum and growth prospects for the company. Based on analyst estimates, the average target price for MP Materials is $44.07, with a high estimate of $67 and a low estimate of $21.60. The average target implies a 30.30% downside from the current price of $63.22.

JP Morgan has significantly increased its price target for MP Materials (NYSE: MP) to $64.00 from $18.00, marking a substantial 255% increase. This move comes as the company has been experiencing a surge in its stock price, which has climbed approximately 210% since announcing a landmark deal with the Department of Defense (DoD). The investment bank maintains a Neutral rating despite the significant price target increase.

The updated price target reflects MP Materials' improved visibility and growth prospects. The company has recently disclosed partnerships with Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and successfully completed a public offering that raised approximately $725 million. These strategic moves have positioned MP Materials as a pivotal supplier of rare-earth materials, particularly for the tech industry.

The investment bank has adjusted its valuation model for MP Materials, applying a premium EV/EBITDA multiple of 30x, which exceeds the average multiple for companies with significant defense and national security exposure. Despite the substantial price target increase, JPMorgan maintains its Neutral stance, suggesting that while additional offtake agreements could drive further multiple expansion, the current valuation largely reflects the improved risk/reward profile, with profitability expected to be somewhat capped over the next two years due to NdPr pricing constraints.

The company's recent stock price performance has been remarkable, with the stock trading near its 52-week high of $64.51. The high beta of 2.26 indicates significant price volatility, underscoring the potential for both substantial gains and losses.

In other recent news, MP Materials Corp. has announced the pricing of an upsized public offering of common stock at $55 per share, with expected gross proceeds of approximately $650 million. The company plans to use the proceeds to accelerate and expand its operations, including its 10X Facility, and for strategic growth opportunities. Additionally, MP Materials has launched a $500 million underwritten public stock offering, with underwriters granted a 30-day option to purchase additional shares to cover over-allotments.

Analysts from DA Davidson and Canaccord Genuity have also raised their price targets for MP Materials, reflecting the growing interest in the company's strategic partnerships and financial moves. DA Davidson reiterated its Buy rating and $32.00 price target, while Canaccord Genuity raised its price target to $64.00, maintaining a Buy rating due to anticipated demand from Apple and other clients.

These partnerships and financial moves underscore MP Materials' continued expansion in the rare earth materials sector. The company's strategic position within the supply chain, coupled with its recent deals, positions it as a key player in the market.

References:
[1] https://www.investing.com/news/analyst-ratings/jpmorgan-raises-mp-materials-price-target-to-64-from-18-on-dod-deal-93CH-4143372
[2] https://www.cnn.com/markets/stocks/MP
[3] https://www.indexbox.io/blog/mp-materials-stock-soars-following-major-partnership-announcement/

JP Morgan Raises MP Materials Price Target to $64.00, Maintains Neutral Rating

Comments



Add a public comment...
No comments

No comments yet