Journeys and Schuh's Q2 2026: Contradictions Emerge on Product Strategy, Store Remodels, and Market Positioning

Generated by AI AgentEarnings Decrypt
Thursday, Aug 28, 2025 10:56 am ET2min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- Genesco reported $546M revenue (+4% YoY) but widened adjusted loss (-$1.14 EPS) and revised FY26 guidance to 3-4% revenue growth (up from 1-2%) with margin pressures.

- Journeys drove 4% comp growth through product elevation, ASP increases, and 25%+ sales lifts from 4.0 store remodels, marking fourth consecutive positive quarter.

- Schuh faced UK market challenges with 4% lower comps due to promotional pressure, though August stabilization showed improved inventory management and promotions.

- Strategic focus on brand expansion (e.g., HOKA, Wrangler licensing) and store format innovation aims to capitalize on broader teen demographics and elevate pricing power.

The above is the analysis of the conflicting points in this earnings call

Date of Call: None provided

Financials Results

  • Revenue: $546.0M, up 4% YOY
  • EPS: $(1.14) adjusted diluted loss per share, compared to $(0.83) loss in the prior year
  • Gross Margin: 45.8%, down 100 bps YOY

Guidance:

  • Reiterated FY26 adjusted EPS $1.30–$1.70.
  • FY revenue growth now 3%–4% (prior 1%–2%); comp sales 4%–5% (prior 2%–3%).
  • FY gross margin to decline 50–60 bps YOY (prior down 20–30 bps); SG&A to leverage 80–100 bps (prior 50–70 bps).
  • Capex $55–$65M; adjusted tax rate ~29%; average shares ~10.6M.
  • Q3 sales up 3%–4%; gross margin deleverage 50–70 bps; SG&A leverage a little over 100 bps.
  • Q3 adjusted EPS expected $0.15–$0.30 above last year.

Business Commentary:

  • Strong Comps and Market Share Gain:
  • Genesco reported 4% overall comps growth in Q2, marking its fourth consecutive quarter of positive comps, with Journeys experiencing a high single-digit comp increase.
  • This growth was driven by strong demand for repositioned product offerings and increased marketing efforts, resulting in a double-digit comp increase in the back-to-school period.

  • Product Elevation and ASP Increase:

  • The company's focus on product elevation and diversification led to an increase in Journeys' average selling price (ASP), with the average transaction value rising into the double digits.
  • This trend was supported by the introduction of new brands and increased product offerings, particularly in the athletic category, which resonated well with the target consumer.

  • Store Performance and Remodel Strategy:

  • Genesco's store comps accelerated throughout the quarter, with new store remodels (Journeys 4 point zero) showing a sales lift of over 25%.
  • The successful remodel strategy was attributed to an enhanced shopping experience, better product presentation, and a modern store aesthetic that attracted both current and new customers.

  • Challenges in UK Market and Schuh Performance:

  • Schuh experienced a decrease in store traffic and 4% lower comps due to promotional pressure and cautious consumer behavior in the UK market.
  • Efforts to improve trend with product newness and demand-driven promotions, alongside strategic inventory management, helped stabilize performance in August.

Sentiment Analysis:

  • “Fourth consecutive quarter of positive comps” with revenue up 4% and comps up 4%. Journeys comps “up double digits” Q3-to-date on top of last year’s double digits. Reiterated FY EPS $1.30–$1.70 and raised revenue/comp outlook, though offset by UK promotional pressure and higher tariffs. SG&A expected to leverage 80–100 bps for the year.

Q&A:

  • Question from Mitch Kummetz (Seaport Global Securities): How does the Journeys assortment and brand access/allocations today compare to last back-to-school?
    Response: Assortment is broader and deeper across casual, canvas, and athletic; six brands up double digits, higher price points, and more time to execute versus last year’s chase.
  • Question from Mitch Kummetz (Seaport Global Securities): Progress on targeting a wider Journeys audience (TAM 6–7x) and impact into holiday?
    Response: Early days; after improving product, they’re scaling marketing (Life on Loud) and 4.0 remodels to reach a broader teen base, with more to come through holiday.
  • Question from Mitch Kummetz (Seaport Global Securities): Confirm double-digit Journeys comps early in Q3 and two-year stack?
    Response: Yes—double-digit comps Q3-to-date on top of last year’s double-digit comps during back-to-school.
  • Question from Mitch Kummetz (Seaport Global Securities): Schuh trends into July/August and merchandising margin outlook?
    Response: Comps improved in July/August aided by promotions; they’re reducing non-accretive discounting in Q3, but UK remains promotional and volatile, keeping margin pressure elevated.
  • Question from Joseph Cibello (Truist Securities): How are new/reintroduced brands scaling and performing?
    Response: New brands validate key teen categories and start small before scaling; example: HOKA introduced in select stores with expansion planned.
  • Question from Joseph Cibello (Truist Securities): Longer-term outlook for ticket and transactions with elevated product access?
    Response: ASPs are rising, including in athletic; consumers pay up for must-have items, and pricing will be pushed until optimal levels are reached.
  • Question from Montero Morenocheek (Jefferies): Any additional insights on Journeys 4.0 remodel performance?
    Response: 55 stores remodeled with 25%+ sales lift; targeting >80 by year-end, focusing on top 250 stores and exploring larger formats to amplify growth.
  • Question from Montero Morenocheek (Jefferies): Outlook for the UK market into holiday for Schuh?
    Response: Expect choppiness; focus on stronger assortments, store execution, and eliminating non-accretive discounting to maintain a full-price stance where possible.
  • Question from Montero Morenocheek (Jefferies): Plans for additional licensing beyond Wrangler?
    Response: Strategy is fewer, larger licenses; Wrangler footwear launches Fall 2026 with broad category potential; near-term focus is executing this partnership.

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