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Here’s the thing: JNJ’s options market is whispering bullish momentum, but the technicals warn of a possible short-term pullback. Let’s break it down.
Bullish Calls vs. Defensive Puts: What the Open Interest RevealsThe options chain tells a story of cautious optimism. For Friday’s expiry, the $207.5 call (
) has 767 open contracts—the most of any strike. That’s not just noise; it’s a price level where smart money is betting on a breakout above recent resistance. Meanwhile, the $205 put () dominates with 1,405 open contracts, showing hedgers are bracing for a dip.But here’s the twist: the put/call ratio for open interest is nearly balanced at 0.97. That means no overwhelming bearish or bullish bias—just positioning for directionality. The danger? If the stock gaps below $200 (a level with 651 puts at $200), the defensive puts might not hold.
Spinouts, Stake Increases, and Why the News MattersJohnson & Johnson’s orthopedics spinout is a mixed bag. On one hand, Leslie Storms’ exit and the creation of a standalone DePuy entity could take years to pay off. On the other, Loomis Sayles just boosted its stake by 57.5% in Q2 2025, and analysts love the dividend yield and long-term healthcare play.
The market isn’t pricing in the spinout’s immediate impact—yet. But the $206.45 price (vs. $207.81 52-week high) suggests investors are still digesting the news. If the spinout smooths operations faster than expected, we could see a rerating.
Trade Ideas: Calls for Breakouts, Puts for ProtectionFor options traders:
For stock traders:
The next two weeks will test JNJ’s resolve. The Dec 5 expiry could see a pop if the stock holds its ground, but the RSI near 97 warns of a near-term pullback. Longer term, the spinout and institutional buying are tailwinds. My take? This isn’t a "buy and hold" moment—wait for a dip to $200 or a breakout above $210 before committing. Either way, the options market has already priced in movement.
Bottom line: JNJ is a classic case of "the trend is your friend, but you need a bigger friend to trade against it." Right now, the trend is up—but don’t ignore the overbought RSI. Position accordingly.

Focus on daily option trades

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