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The options market is painting a mixed but directionally clear picture. For this Friday’s expiration (Jan 2, 2026), open interest in OTM calls peaks at the $215 strike (OI: 315) and $212.50 (OI: 232), while puts show heavy interest at $202.50 (OI: 681) and $205 (OI: 652). This suggests a tug-of-war: bulls are hedging for a rally above $210, while bears are bracing for a pullback below $207.50. The put/call ratio of 0.95 (favoring calls) reinforces the bullish tilt, but don’t ignore the $205 support zone—break below that, and the 200D moving average at $154.50 becomes a grim possibility.
Halda Acquisition: A Strategic Win, But EPS Drag Adds Short-Term NoiseJ&J’s $3.05B Halda Therapeutics buyout is a long-term win for its oncology pipeline, adding promising candidates like HLD-0915 for prostate cancer. However, the $0.20 EPS drag over 2025–2026 could weigh on near-term momentum. Here’s the twist: the market might be discounting this hit already. The stock’s 30D moving average at $205.15 and long-term 200D average at $173.25 suggest the acquisition’s strategic value could outpace short-term earnings noise—if the stock holds above $205.
Actionable Trade Ideas: Calls for the Breakout, Puts for the Safety NetFor options traders, the most compelling setup is the call (expiring Jan 2). With the stock hovering near $208.18, a break above today’s intraday high of $209.47 could trigger a rally toward $213.72. This strike offers leverage if the bulls push through, with a breakeven around $215.50. For a longer play, the call (next Friday’s expiration) balances risk and reward, given the stock’s 59.29 RSI reading (neutral territory, no overbought warning).
On the stock side, consider entry near $205.09 (30D support) with a tight stop just below $204. If the price holds, target $213.72 as a profit zone. Alternatively, a bullish breakout above $209.47 could justify a core position, but watch volume—it’s currently at 1.75M, below the 50-day average. A surge above 2.5M would validate the move.
Volatility on the Horizon: Balancing Growth and Execution RiskThe next two weeks will test JNJ’s resolve. The Halda integration is a long-term play, but near-term volatility hinges on whether the stock can defend its 30D support at $205.15. If it fails, the put-heavy positioning at $202.50 and $205 could accelerate the decline. Conversely, a sustained rally above $213.72 would validate the long-term bullish thesis, especially with the 200D moving average ($173.25) as a distant floor. For now, the options market is betting on a breakout—but don’t let that blind you to the risks below $207.50.

Focus on daily option trades

Dec.29 2025

Dec.29 2025

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Dec.29 2025
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