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Jim Cramer: Tax Cut Promises Send Stocks Lower on Tuesday

Wesley ParkTuesday, Nov 12, 2024 6:56 pm ET
4min read
In a surprising turn of events, the promise of broad tax cuts from the Trump administration contributed to a decline in stock prices on Tuesday. CNBC's Jim Cramer analyzed the market action and provided insight into the bond market's reaction to the potential tax cuts, which may have influenced investor sentiment. This article explores the specific aspects of the tax cut proposals that contributed to Tuesday's market decline, the market's anticipation of how the government will make up for lost tax receipts, and the bond market's influence on stock market performance.

The bond market and the stock market typically have a negative correlation, with investors moving between the two based on yields. When the government promises tax cuts, it implies increased borrowing to make up for the lost tax receipts, which can cause bond yields to spike. This, in turn, makes bonds more attractive, drawing investors away from stocks and potentially driving stock prices lower.



Cramer's analysis aligns with the findings from a study on the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), which showed that market participants anticipated most of the benefits would be passed on to shareholders via higher corporate payouts, rather than increased corporate investments. This suggests that investors may have been anticipating higher bond yields and moved into bonds, contributing to the decline in stock prices on Tuesday.

The uncertainty around the specifics of Trump's new tax plans also contributed to the market's negative reaction. The lack of clarity on how the government will make up for lost tax receipts and the potential for increased government borrowing added to the market's volatility. Additionally, the correlation between the bond market and the stock market played a significant role in investor decisions during this period.

In conclusion, the promise of tax cuts from the Trump administration contributed to a decline in stock prices on Tuesday, as investors anticipated higher bond yields and moved into bonds. The uncertainty around the specifics of the tax plans and the correlation between the bond market and the stock market further influenced investor decisions. As the market continues to react to potential tax cuts, investors should remain vigilant and consider the potential impact on bond yields and stock prices.

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