Why Jim Cramer Believes the Data Center Boom Isn’t a Bubble

Eli GrantThursday, Apr 24, 2025 9:38 pm ET
22min read

In a market rife with skepticism about overinvestment in AI infrastructure, Jim Cramer, host of Mad Money, remains defiantly optimistic about the data center buildout. His stance hinges on a simple premise: the $320 billion tech giants are pouring into data centers and AI by 2025 isn’t a speculative bubble but a “transformative investment theme” akin to the industrial revolution.

The Case for Optimism: Data Centers as the New “Nation States”

Cramer argues that the current data center boom is fundamentally different from past tech cycles because it is being fueled by companies with “unlimited firepower.” Meta, Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft—collectively planning to increase their 2025 data center/AI investments by 39% over 2024—are not your typical startups. Their balance sheets, he insists, are so strong that they can sustain spending even if economic headwinds materialize.

Take Vertiv (VRT), a provider of cooling and power infrastructure for data centers. Its 8.64% stock surge after strong Q3 earnings—a result of rising demand—has become a “canary in the coal mine” for Cramer, signaling that corporate commitments to AI infrastructure remain intact.

Busting the “Bubble” Myth: Lessons from History

Critics like Alibaba’s Joe Tsai warn of a looming bubble, but Cramer counters that AI’s potential is unprecedented. Unlike the dotcom era, which saw many companies fail, today’s AI investments are concentrated in industries with tangible applications: healthcare diagnostics, autonomous vehicles, and supply chain optimization.

He draws a parallel to the 2000s: just as Amazon and Alphabet emerged as winners post-2001, today’s data center investments could produce similar “bandits”—companies that dominate AI-driven markets. “It’s too early to pick winners, but the losers will be those who don’t invest,” he said after attending Nvidia’s GTC conference, where he witnessed AI breakthroughs he’d “never imagined.”

The Risks—and Why They Might Not Matter

Cramer isn’t blind to headwinds. Microsoft’s scaling back of early-stage projects and Wall Street’s growing skepticism about overbuilding have caused cyclical stocks like Broadcom (AVGO) and Cisco (CSCO) to lag. Meanwhile, tariffs on tech imports and recession fears threaten to disrupt supply chains.

Yet he dismisses these as temporary hurdles. “The real question isn’t whether there’s a slowdown in some spending,” he says, “but whether the long-term demand for AI is real.” Here, the data is clear:

  • AI’s economic impact: A McKinsey report estimates that AI could contribute up to $13 trillion to global GDP by 2030, driven largely by data center-enabled innovations.
  • Corporate commitments: Amazon’s Kevin Miller has reaffirmed that data center demand is “only going up,” while Alphabet’s Google Cloud is expanding its AI-focused infrastructure.

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The Bottom Line: Buy the Dip, but Stay Selective

Cramer’s advice is clear: data centers are a “decade-long theme,” not a short-term trade. Investors should focus on companies with direct exposure to AI’s growth, such as:
- Semiconductors: Broadcom, Arm Holdings, and Nvidia (NVDA), which power AI chips.
- Infrastructure providers: Vertiv, CoreWeave, and GE Vernova (GEV), which supply cooling, power, and turbines.
- Networking firms: Arista Networks (ANET) and Cisco, critical for data center connectivity.

He also urges caution with cyclical plays like Cummins (CMI) and Trane Technologies (TT), which are vulnerable to a recession but could rebound if trade tensions ease.

Conclusion: The AI Buildout Isn’t a Bubble—It’s a Revolution

The $320 billion data center investment target for 2025 isn’t just a number—it’s a testament to the tech giants’ belief that AI will redefine industries. While skeptics focus on short-term volatility, Cramer’s analysis shows that the sector’s foundation is rock-solid:

  • Financial strength: Big Tech’s combined cash reserves exceed $400 billion, ensuring they can outspend competitors.
  • Earnings momentum: Vertiv’s beat-and-raise quarter, along with GE Vernova’s turbine sales, validate ongoing demand.
  • AI’s irrefutable potential: From healthcare to climate science, AI’s applications are too vast to be confined to a single “bubble.”

As Cramer puts it: “This isn’t 2000. This is the future.” For investors, the choice is simple: ignore the noise and bet on the infrastructure powering the next era—or risk missing the next Amazon or Alphabet.

The data doesn’t lie: 2025 is shaping up to be the year when the AI revolution goes from theory to reality—and data centers are its engine.