JD.com Inc Shares Rise 3.21%, 52-Week High Remains Unreached

JD.com Inc (JD) shares surged 3.21% to $32.66 on Jul 17, up from its previous close of $31.64. The stock reached an intraday high of $32.72, with trading volume at 5,519,735 shares, 59.4% of the average daily volume of 9,291,405. Analysts forecast an average target price of $46.84, implying an upside of 43.43% from the current price. The estimated GF Value for JD in one year is $45.15, suggesting a 38.26% upside.

JD.com Inc. (JD) shares surged 3.21% to HK$32.66 on July 17, up from its previous close of HK$31.64. The stock reached an intraday high of HK$32.72, with trading volume at 5,519,735 shares, representing 59.4% of the average daily volume of 9,291,405 shares [1].

Analysts forecast an average target price of HK$46.84, implying an upside of 43.43% from the current price. The estimated GF Value for JD in one year is HK$45.15, suggesting a 38.26% upside.

On July 18, the stock was upgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Buy Candidate after Friday's trading session. The stock price gained 2.97% on the last trading day, rising from HK$124.50 to HK$128.20. During the last trading day, the stock fluctuated 2.37% from a day low at HK$126.80 to a day high of HK$129.80. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 3.22% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 11 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 21 million shares were bought and sold for approximately HK$2.64 billion [1].

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -4.77% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability, hold a price between HK$116.13 and HK$129.87 at the end of this 3-month period [1].

The Jd.com, Inc. stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at HK$124.53 and HK$127.81. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, July 14, 2025, and so far it has risen 4.74%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) [1].

Support, risk & stop-loss for Jd.com, Inc. stock
Jd.com, Inc. finds support from accumulated volume at HK$124.80 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested [1].

In general, the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved HK$3.00 between high and low, or 2.37%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.61% [1].

Our recommended stop-loss: HK$122.32 (-4.58%) (This stock has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 4 days ago.) [1].

Trading Expectations (9618.HK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 21st
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 21st we expect Jd.com, Inc. to open at HK$128.27, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between HK$126.32 and HK$130.08, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-HK$3.76 (+/-2.98%) up or down from last closing price. If Jd.com, Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.98% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day [1].

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at HK$129.80 (1.25%) than the support at HK$124.80 (2.65%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level [1].

References:
[1] https://stockinvest.us/stock/9618.HK