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J.P. Morgan's Top Picks for 2025: Amazon and Apple

Wesley ParkSaturday, Nov 16, 2024 6:04 am ET
4min read
In a recent report, J.P. Morgan Asset Management highlighted two stocks as top picks for 2025: Amazon.com (AMZN) and Apple (AAPL). The firm's 2025 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions (LTCMAs) guide investment decisions and conversations with institutional and high-net-worth clients, providing actionable insights for building resilient portfolios amid higher growth, increased capital investment, and rising geopolitical tensions.

Amazon.com is expected to benefit from robust capital investment, advances in artificial intelligence (AI) and automation, and fiscal activism, which are driving the long-term growth outlook. The company's strong management team, led by CEO Andy Jassy, has a proven track record of driving innovation and growth. Amazon's focus on customer experience, investments in AI, and expansion into new markets, such as healthcare, position it well for long-term success. The company's stock price has dipped recently, but J.P. Morgan analysts see this as a buying opportunity, given Amazon's strong fundamentals and growth prospects.

Apple is another top pick for 2025, according to J.P. Morgan. The company's stock price has also dipped recently, but the firm's analysts believe it is a solid investment opportunity. Apple's management team, led by CEO Tim Cook, has demonstrated a strong commitment to shareholder interests and a track record of delivering consistent growth. The company's focus on innovation, brand loyalty, and strategic acquisitions, such as its recent purchase of the rights to the popular podcast app Wondery, position it well for long-term success. Apple's strong balance sheet and cash flow generation also make it an attractive investment option.

Both Amazon.com and Apple have faced recent challenges, such as rising interest rates and geopolitical tensions. However, J.P. Morgan's analysts believe that these companies' strong management teams and enduring business models will enable them to overcome these obstacles and deliver long-term growth. Investors who are looking for stable, predictable returns should consider adding these two stocks to their portfolios.

Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) and Apple Inc. (AAPL) have shown strong performance in recent years, but their valuations have increased significantly, raising concerns about potential overvaluation. To compare their valuations with their peers and the broader market, we can look at their price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios and enterprise value-to-EBITDA ratios.

Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) has a P/E ratio of 32.93, which is higher than the average P/E ratio of the S&P 500 index of 18.75. Apple Inc. (AAPL) has a P/E ratio of 27.29, which is also higher than the S&P 500 index. Both companies have high valuations relative to their peers and the broader market, which could indicate that they are overvalued.

In addition to P/E ratios, we can also look at enterprise value-to-EBITDA ratios to compare the valuations of these two stocks. Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) has an enterprise value-to-EBITDA ratio of 33.93, while Apple Inc. (AAPL) has a ratio of 28.29. Both ratios are higher than the average enterprise value-to-EBITDA ratio of the S&P 500 index of 18.47. These high valuations suggest that both companies may be overvalued relative to their peers and the broader market.

Despite their high valuations, both Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) and Apple Inc. (AAPL) have shown strong growth potential and are expected to continue their growth trajectory. However, investors should be cautious and consider the potential risks associated with these high valuations. It is important to conduct thorough research and consider the specific business models and growth prospects of each company before making investment decisions.



The primary drivers of growth for Amazon and Apple are their strong management teams, innovative products, and strategic acquisitions. Both companies have demonstrated a commitment to shareholder interests and a track record of delivering consistent growth. Their focus on innovation, brand loyalty, and expansion into new markets position them well for long-term success.

However, both companies face potential risks and challenges in the coming years. Rising interest rates and geopolitical tensions could impact their financial performance. Additionally, the increasing competition in their respective industries could pose a threat to their market share and profitability. Investors should be aware of these risks and monitor the companies' performance closely to make informed investment decisions.

In conclusion, J.P. Morgan's 2025 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions highlight Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) and Apple Inc. (AAPL) as top picks for 2025. Both companies have strong management teams, innovative products, and strategic acquisitions that position them well for long-term growth. However, investors should be cautious about their high valuations and consider the potential risks and challenges they face. By conducting thorough research and monitoring their performance, investors can make informed decisions about adding these stocks to their portfolios.
Disclaimer: the above is a summary showing certain market information. AInvest is not responsible for any data errors, omissions or other information that may be displayed incorrectly as the data is derived from a third party source. Communications displaying market prices, data and other information available in this post are meant for informational purposes only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Please do your own research when investing. All investments involve risk and the past performance of a security, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Keep in mind that while diversification may help spread risk, it does not assure a profit, or protect against loss in a down market.