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IOTA, a prominent altcoin, has recently exhibited renewed bullish momentum after a prolonged period of consolidation. Currently trading around $0.2244, the cryptocurrency has demonstrated a solid technical breakout above previous resistance levels. This analysis delves into the recent price structure using Fibonacci levels, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and price action to project IOTA's next move and assess the feasibility of reaching $0.30.
IOTA's price has surged by over 45% since its local low near $0.155, driven by a strong breakout past resistance and an increase in buying volume. On the chart, this breakout aligns with a 2-bar bullish reversal pattern on the Heikin Ashi candles, indicating a potential shift in trend rather than a mere spike. The current RSI reading of 74.81 suggests an overbought zone, but in trending markets, elevated RSI levels can persist for extended periods, signifying bullish strength rather than a sell signal.
Key Fibonacci levels derived from a retracement between the local swing low (~$0.155) and the top wick near $0.251 reveal critical support and resistance points. The 0.236 Fib level at ~$0.208 has recently transitioned from resistance to support, while the 0.382 Fib level at ~$0.194 and the 0.618 Fib level at ~$0.177 serve as previous consolidation zones and strong support bases, respectively. Notably, IOTA's price is hovering just below the 0.786 Fib resistance at ~$0.230, suggesting that a potential breakout could pave the way for a full retracement to $0.251, followed by Fibonacci extension targets.
Using Fibonacci extensions for breakout projection, the 1.272 extension targets $0.270, the 1.618 extension aims for $0.298, and the 2.0 extension reaches $0.326. If the momentum holds, achieving $0.30 within the next 2–3 weeks is a realistic possibility.
Momentum indicators further support the bullish outlook. The RSI near 75 is high but not extreme, and a slight cooldown or sideways action could reset the RSI without significantly impacting the price. This scenario is typical in a bull flag or consolidation phase before another leg up. Additionally, Heikin Ashi candles show minimal lower wicks in recent sessions, indicating strong upward pressure. As long as these candles continue closing above the 0.236 Fib (~$0.208), bulls remain in control.
To reach $0.30 from the current level of $0.224, IOTA would need a ~33.9% gain. This target is not unrealistic, given that IOTA has already rallied over 45% in the last 10 days. Even a measured move of another 20–25% would place the price in the $0.27–0.28 range, aligning with Fibonacci extension targets. If bullish momentum continues, IOTA could reach $0.30 before July ends. However, profit booking around $0.25–$0.27 is expected.
In the event of a pullback, immediate support is at $0.208 (Fib 0.236), with a deeper retracement zone between $0.194 and $0.177. A trend invalidation would occur with a break below $0.165 accompanied by strong volume. Any retrace into the $0.19–0.20 zone could offer re-entry opportunities for swing traders if the bullish structure remains intact.
Looking ahead, the short-term target for IOTA is $0.251–$0.270 within the next 7 days, with a medium-term target of $0.30–$0.32 over the next 2–3 weeks. Key support to hold is at $0.208. The trend has clearly flipped bullish, and technical indicators suggest that IOTA still has the potential for another leg higher. As long as it stays above $0.208 and volume sustains, a move to $0.30 in July looks highly probable. However, caution is advised if the RSI spikes over 80 or if broader market sentiment turns bearish. For now, IOTA is flashing green.
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