IOTA Price Faces 75% Retracement After Rebased Rollout

IOTA, renowned for its feeless and scalable Tangle architecture, is on the cusp of significant milestones with Rebased, Starfish, and broader adoption. Currently priced around $0.162, the focus is on what drives IOTA and its potential price trajectory through 2025–2027.

Historically, IOTA's price surged from approximately $0.15 in early 2024 to over $0.60 in November 2024 following the rollout of Rebased, which introduced smart contracts and staking. However, by June 2025, the price had retraced around 75%, settling around $0.16–$0.17 by July 2025. The price faced resistance at the 50-SMA (~$0.165), with Stochastic oscillators signaling a possible downturn.

In the short term, resistance for IOTA lies at approximately $0.17. Failure to break this level could trigger a drop to around $0.14. The weekly RSI stands at 44, indicating a neutral position, while the MACD has recently turned bearish, suggesting limited upside unless the price decisively breaks through $0.17.

Demand for IOTA has seen an uptick, with trading volume surging as IOTA filled the $0.16–$0.17 zone, fueled by the momentum of the Altcoin rally. The Starfish Protocol, a new consensus model promising 150,000 transactions per second, debuted in April 2025, potentially reshaping IOTA’s scalability narrative. However, the uptake of decentralized applications (dApps) remains muted, with DeFi Llama recording a total value locked (TVL) of just $9.8 million, indicating lagging adoption.

According to various forecasts, IOTA's price is expected to range between $0.164–$0.180 in 2025, $0.171–$0.185 in 2026, and $0.184–$0.200 in 2027. Wallet Investor predicts potential highs of around $2.23 by the end of 2025, but more realistic forecasts hover near $0.17. Changelly shares a similar optimism but is more conservative on short-term gains. 3Commas and TradingBeasts predict average prices of $0.165 in 2025, $0.166–$0.172 in 2026, and $0.159–$0.168 in 2027.

IOTA’s 2025 outlook hinges on whether big-ticket industrial pilots mature into full-scale, on-chain throughput. With Bosch’s Metrology prototype and the EU-funded EBSI program moving from proof of concept (PoC) to limited production, on-chain volume could finally tick up. However, analysts still see a range-bound year, with most price action staying between $0.15 and $0.20 unless adoption spikes. The quarterly view suggests a consensus “slow-grind” profile, with the price range expected to be $0.15–$0.17 in Q1, $0.16–$0.18 in Q2 and Q3, and $0.17–$0.20 in Q4. Should high-profile pilots convert into production traffic by late Q3, the year-end push toward $0.20 becomes achievable; otherwise, expect sideways consolidation inside the $0.16 band.

From 2026 onward, the narrative shifts to cross-chain liquidity with the IOTA 2.0 “Stardust” upgrade, which pledges EVM compatibility and streamlined bridges. This is essential for tapping DeFi capital parked on Ethereum, Solana, and BNB Chain. IOTA price prediction spreads widen here, with CoinCodex keeping its base case below $0.25, while DigitalCoinPrice floats an outlier high of $0.42 in 2026 and $0.57 in 2027. A tempered composite of mainstream models produces the quarterly ladders, with the price range expected to be $0.16–$0.18 in Q1, $0.17–$0.19 in Q2 and Q3, and $0.18–$0.20 in Q4 for 2026. For 2027, the price range is expected to be $0.18–$0.19 in Q1, $0.18–$0.20 in Q2 and Q3, and $0.19–$0.21 in Q4.

Year-by-year take-aways include that in 2026, if the first cross-chain bridges attract liquidity and the Starfish consensus hits mainnet, a gentle grind toward $0.20 is likely, breaking $0.22 only if TVL meaningfully tops today’s sub-$10 million levels. In 2027, full EVM interoperability plus a broader crypto bull cycle could lift IOTA beyond the two-decade-old $0.20 ceiling, but mainstream models still cap the median target near $0.21; only the most bullish algorithms see $0.50+ territory.

Bottom line: Enterprise traction drives the 2025 floor, while interoperability throttles the 2026-27 ceiling. Unless both catalysts fire in tandem, IOTA’s most probable path is a gradual crawl from the mid-$0.16s today toward the low-$0.20s by late 2027.

In the bull case, a broader crypto rally context could turn gatekeepers bullish once tech adoption increases. Continued development on Rebased and Starfish could boost utility, potentially driving prices above $0.20 in Q4 2025. In the bear case, technical indicators remain weak, with the MACD bearish and trapped in a descending triangle. On-chain metrics show limited traction, with tiny TVL potentially keeping investor confidence subdued. In the mid-range case, most models point to $0.16–$0.20 through 2025–2027, assuming modest adoption and neutral market sentiment.

Expect IOTA price prediction to consolidate around $0.16–$0.18 in 2025, with chances to break higher if tech developments gain steam. 2026 and 2027 could see gradual appreciation into the $0.18–$0.20 zone, but reaching beyond will require improved adoption and macro tailwinds.