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Summary
• IOST/Tether declined to a 24-hour low near $0.002107 amid a bearish price action.
• Volatility expanded during the early hours, but consolidation emerged in the afternoon.
• MACD and RSI suggest waning downward momentum with an oversold condition forming.
• Volume spiked during the sharp early sell-off but faded as the market approached consolidation.
IOST/Tether (IOSTUSDT) opened at $0.002223 on 12:00 ET–1, reached a high of $0.002242, and closed at $0.002185 at 12:00 ET today. The 24-hour session recorded a total volume of 73,194,350 and notional turnover of $162,949. A bearish bias dominated the session with a sharp early decline followed by a period of consolidation.
Price structure during the 24-hour period revealed a strong bearish impulse starting at 17:00 ET–1, where price broke through a 15-minute support level near $0.002223 and accelerated toward $0.002155. A bearish engulfing pattern formed early, while later consolidation showed a series of doji and shrinking range candles, suggesting indecision. Support appears to be forming in the $0.002135–$0.002155 range, while resistance remains at $0.002185–$0.002205.
On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages were aligned in a bearish crossover, reinforcing the downward trend. The 20-period MA was at $0.002189, and the 50-period MA at $0.002191. MACD turned negative in the early hours, showing bearish divergence with price, while RSI reached an oversold condition near 30 at $0.002107. Bollinger Bands expanded during the initial sell-off, with price touching the lower band multiple times, indicating a period of high volatility and potential exhaustion of downward pressure.
Volume spiked at $0.002185–$0.002155, confirming the initial breakdown, but significantly reduced as price moved into the $0.002145–$0.002165 range, indicating diminished bearish pressure. Fibonacci retracement levels suggest that the 38.2% retracement of the prior 15-minute swing is near $0.002165, while the 61.8% retracement is at $0.002181. A potential rebound from this zone could test the 0.618 level as support.
Backtest Hypothesis
A 14-period RSI-based backtest initiated at daily close positions shows potential for a bounce from current levels, especially if RSI remains in oversold territory. Holding trades for three days and closing at the daily close may offer a favorable risk-reward profile, though caution is advised given the low turnover and limited volatility in the next 24 hours.
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