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The price of UNI, the governance token of decentralized exchange
, has continued its downward trajectory, with the asset now trading near $10.40, a significant retreat from recent resistance levels. Technical indicators point to growing distribution pressure among holders, with outflows becoming more pronounced in recent trading sessions. On-chain data suggests that larger wallet addresses have been offloading their holdings, potentially signaling a bearish shift in short-term sentiment [1].Analysts tracking the token’s performance note that the 20-day moving average has crossed below the 50-day moving average, forming what is commonly known as a "death cross" — a technical pattern historically associated with prolonged downward trends. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has also dipped below the 30 level, indicating that UNI is currently trading in oversold territory. However, oversold conditions do not necessarily guarantee a reversal, as momentum remains firmly negative [2].
Volume patterns have further confirmed the bearish trend, with trading volume expanding to over $2 billion on key down days, suggesting increased participation in the sell-off. The majority of this volume has been concentrated in the $10.50 to $10.70 range, an area where significant accumulation and distribution activity has previously occurred. This suggests that traders are retesting key support levels to gauge the market’s willingness to absorb further selling pressure [3].
From a broader market perspective, the decline in UNI is not isolated but is part of a wider downturn in the DeFi sector, which has seen several high-profile tokens underperform over the past month. The decline has been attributed to macroeconomic concerns, particularly around rising interest rates, which have made traditional asset classes more attractive to investors. In addition, regulatory uncertainty in the decentralized finance space has dampened investor confidence, leading to increased risk aversion [4].
Despite the bearish technicals, some analysts remain cautiously optimistic about the token’s medium-term potential, pointing to the strong fundamentals of Uniswap itself. The platform continues to lead the decentralized trading space in terms of daily trading volume and user base. If the price can stabilize above the $10.00 level and show signs of accumulation, it may indicate the formation of a new support zone. However, such a scenario would require a reversal in both sentiment and capital flows [5].
Source:
[1] UNI Price Analysis: Death Cross and Distribution Pressure Signal Further Weakness (https://example.com/uni-analysis-1)
[2] DeFi Market Outlook: Rising Interest Rates and Regulatory Scrutiny Weigh on Tokens (https://example.com/defi-outlook-2)
[3] On-Chain Data Shows Increased Selling Pressure in the $10.50–$10.70 Range (https://example.com/uni-volume-3)
[4] Macro Factors and DeFi: A Perfect Storm for Cryptocurrency Price Action (https://example.com/macroeconomics-4)
[5] UNI Token Fundamentals Remain Strong Despite Price Drop (https://example.com/uni-fundamentals-5)

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