TH International THCH 2025Q2 Earnings Preview Downside Risk on Continued Losses

Forward-Looking Analysis
Analysts expect TH International’s 2025Q2 earnings to reflect a challenging operating environment. The company’s Q1 2025 results showed a net loss of $58.94 million and an EPS of -$1.78, missing the market’s expectation of -$0.912. Revenue for Q1 2025 was reported at $254.76 million. While the Q1 report was labeled as showing an "upside" in some summaries, no specific revenue or EPS forecasts for Q2 2025 were provided. However, based on the company’s recent performance and its Q4 2024 EPS of -$0.41 (missing estimates by $0.19), there is a risk of continued underperformance. Analysts have not issued upgrades or downgrades recently, and no price targets are mentioned, suggesting cautious market sentiment.

Historical Performance Review
TH International reported a Q1 2025 revenue of $254.76 million but posted a net loss of $58.94 million, translating to an EPS of -$1.78. Gross profit stood at $22.94 million, highlighting margin pressures. This performance followed a Q4 2024 EPS of -$0.41, which missed the consensus estimate of -$0.22 by $0.19, indicating ongoing financial strain and an inability to meet earnings expectations consistently.

Additional News
TH International is scheduled to release its Q2 2025 financial results on August 26, 2025, before the U.S. market opens. As the exclusive operator of Tim Hortons in China, the company has not disclosed any new product launches, M&A activity, or CEO announcements in recent updates. The company’s stock price as of May 2, 2025, was $2.86, with a market cap of $90.4M and 31.6M shares outstanding. No new developments regarding operational strategies or store expansion were noted in the provided news.

Summary & Outlook
TH International’s Q1 2025 results reveal a struggling business with declining profitability, marked by a net loss of $58.94 million and an EPS of -$1.78, despite $254.76 million in revenue. The company continues to miss earnings estimates, as seen in Q4 2024, where it underperformed by $0.19. With no clear improvement in gross profit and no analyst upgrades or strategic updates reported, the outlook for Q2 remains bearish. Continued financial strain and weak earnings momentum suggest a high risk of missing expectations, making THCH a stock to watch for downside risks in the near term.