International Seaways Outlook: Mixed Signals Amid Volatile Market Conditions

Market Snapshot

Headline Takeaway: International Seaways (INSW.N) is trading in a technically neutral zone with mixed signals from analysts and strong institutional interest, but fundamental concerns linger.

News Highlights

Recent global energy developments and policy shifts are shaping the backdrop for International Seaways. Key news includes:

• Colombia’s Oil & Gas Investment Boost: Colombia’s industry group reported a potential 8% increase in E&P investment for 2025, pushing total spending to $4.68 billion. While this news is more relevant to global energy trends, it reinforces the broader oil and gas sector's momentum.
• OPEC+ Output Hike: OPEC+ is set to discuss increasing oil production in July, possibly by more than 411,000 barrels per day. This could depress oil prices, which may affect International Seaways if it has exposure to oil-dependent markets.
• India’s Edible Oil Duty Cut: India reduced the basic customs duty on crude edible oils, which might lower domestic prices. While this impacts the agricultural sector more directly, it highlights a global trend of governments using fiscal tools to support domestic industries.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

The stock has received a Strong Buy rating from a single analyst at Jefferies, led by Omar Nokta, who has a 50.0% historical win rate over two past predictions with an average 1.78% return. The simple average analyst rating is 5.00, while the performance-weighted rating is 2.75, suggesting strong dispersion in expectations and a mismatch with the current price trend, which is up by 13.04%.

Key Fundamental Values and Scores:

• Current liabilities / Total liabilities (%): 39.46% (internal diagnostic score: 1) – indicates manageable short-term leverage.
• Long-term debt to working capital ratio (%): 2.04% (score: 3) – suggests solid working capital coverage.
• Net profit / Total profit (%): 100.00% (score: 3) – implies no retained earnings adjustments are needed.
• Asset-MV: -0.52 (score: 3) – mixed market value of assets.
• Net income-Revenue: 0.93% (score: 2) – low conversion of revenue to net income.
• Profit-MV: 1.34 (score: 3) – modest profit margin.
• PB-ROE: -0.23 (score: 1) – weak price-to-book and ROE relationship.
• Cash-MV: 1.04 (score: 3) – moderate cash market value.

Money-Flow Trends

Big-money players are showing a slight positive bias with medium and extra-large inflow ratios at 50.02% and 49.10%, respectively, while overall inflow is at 48.89%, and the overall trend is negative. Small and large investors are trending negatively, with the block inflow ratio at 48.74%, suggesting institutional caution or profit-taking.

Key Technical Signals

Our internal technical model assigns INSW.N an internal diagnostic score of 6.02, indicating a moderate attention level and technical neutrality is strong. Here's what's happening on the chart:

• WR Oversold:internal diagnostic score: 3.8 – neutral rise, with 53.85% win rate and average return of 0.52%.
• RSI Oversold:internal diagnostic score: 8.2 – strong bullish signal, with 83.33% win rate and average return of 2.93%.

Recent chart activity shows WR Oversold dominating on May 12, 15, and 19, while RSI Oversold reappeared on May 12 and 16. This suggests that the market is in a volatile, directionless phase with mixed bearish and bullish momentum.

Conclusion

International Seaways is caught between strong institutional inflows and mixed technical signals, while analysts remain divided on the outlook. With a fundamental score of 3.8 and technical neutrality at 6.02, investors may want to wait for more clarity on both price direction and earnings momentum. Given the high volatility and contrarian signals from RSI and WR, now might not be the best time to take large directional positions — but could be a good time to set up tighter risk-managed trades or monitor for pull-back setups.