International Paper Downgraded by JPMorgan Amid Disappointing Q2 Results.

Monday, Aug 4, 2025 9:40 pm ET1min read

International Paper (IP) has been downgraded to Neutral by JPMorgan following disappointing Q2 results. The company's EBITDA fell short by 4%, despite an improving supply landscape and strong market discipline in the U.S. JPMorgan suggests that Smurfit Kappa could be a more cost-effective option, trading at 20% less than IP. IP's revenue for the trailing twelve months stands at $21.9 billion, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 1.6%. The company's operating margin, net margin, and gross margin have all declined over the past five years.

International Paper (NYSE: IP) faced a challenging quarter, with shares dropping 12.85% to $46.74 following the release of its Q2 earnings report. The company reported a $30 million net loss, an 85% decline from the $498 million net loss in the same period last year. Despite a 35% increase in net sales to $12.67 billion, the results were attributed to cost headwinds and a soft demand environment in Europe [1].

The downgrade by JPMorgan to Neutral further highlights the company's struggles. JPMorgan cited concerns over the company's EBITDA, which fell short by 4%, despite an improving supply landscape and strong market discipline in the U.S. The investment bank suggested that Smurfit Kappa could be a more cost-effective option, trading at 20% less than IP [2].

International Paper's revenue for the trailing twelve months stands at $21.9 billion, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 1.6%. Over the past five years, the company's operating margin, net margin, and gross margin have all declined. The company's CEO, Andy Silvernail, attributed the results to cost headwinds and a soft demand environment in Europe [1].

The paperboard packaging market, in which International Paper operates, is projected to reach USD 218.0 billion by 2035, registering a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.7% over the forecast period. The market's steady expansion is driven by surging demand for eco-friendly packaging solutions and heightened regulatory focus on reducing single-use plastics [2].

Despite the challenges faced by International Paper, the broader market for paperboard packaging remains resilient. Key growth regions include North America, Asia-Pacific, and Europe. Recycled waste paper is projected to account for 61.0% of the raw material share in 2025, driven by increased emphasis on closed-loop recycling systems and global sustainability mandates [2].

Investors should closely monitor International Paper's ability to navigate cost headwinds and improve its operational efficiency. The company's future performance will depend on its ability to adapt to the evolving market landscape and capitalize on the growing demand for sustainable packaging solutions.

References:
[1] https://www.ainvest.com/news/international-paper-q2-earnings-report-sparks-sell-2508/
[2] https://www.futuremarketinsights.com/reports/paperboard-packaging-market

International Paper Downgraded by JPMorgan Amid Disappointing Q2 Results.

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