Ingersoll Rand Outlook - A Weak Technical Picture Despite Mixed Analyst Signals

Market Snapshot

Takeaway: Ingersoll Rand (IR) is showing a weak technical outlook with no bullish indicators, while market activity remains subdued — internal diagnostic score: 2.26, indicating a bearish tilt.

News Highlights

• Farm Machinery Industry Eyes Modest Recovery – Sales in the sector began stabilizing in late 2024, with revenue rising 12% year-on-year in early 2025. This could indirectly benefit IR, which serves the agricultural machinery space.
• Trump Fast-Tracks Utah Uranium Mine – While this doesn't directly impact IR, it signals renewed interest in energy infrastructure, a sector where IR has historical involvement.
• China’s Factory Activity Contracts, But With Signs of Improvement – The global manufacturing slowdown could dampen demand for IR’s industrial equipment, but easing U.S.-China trade tensions might eventually support the sector.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

Analysts are split on IR, with a simple average rating of 3.50 and a performance-weighted rating of 3.33. Ratings are largely consistent with the current price trend (0.88% up), indicating a “consistent” market outlook.

On fundamentals, the internal diagnostic score is 2.97, suggesting weak fundamentals but not yet a sell signal. Key metrics include:

• Net cash flow from operating activities (YoY): 7.63% growth – score: 3.0
• EV/EBIT: 148.57 – score: 2.5
• PE: -143.27 – score: 2.0
• Operating revenue growth: 3.72% YoY – score: 2.5
• Asset-MV: 0.36 – score: 2.5

Money-Flow Trends

Big-money investors are showing optimism. The fund-flow score is 7.94 (good), with all categories — small, medium, large, and extra-large — showing positive inflows. The overall inflow ratio is 51.49%, suggesting strong institutional and retail confidence at the moment.

Key Technical Signals

Technically, IR is struggling. The internal diagnostic score is 2.26, with 3 bearish and 0 bullish indicators, and no neutral positives to balance the scale:

• Williams %R Overbought – score: 2.49, suggests weak internal strength
• Williams %R Oversold – score: 2.99, mixed signals with an average return of 0.51%
• Dividend Payable Date – score: 1.31, heavily bearish with a 33.33% win rate

Recent signals on 2025-08-26 and 2025-09-05 highlighted WR Overbought signs, while 2025-09-02 and 2025-09-03 pointed to WR Oversold patterns. The most recent bearish signal came on 2025-09-04 with a Dividend Payable Date event. All of this suggests a market caught between conflicting momentum signals with no clear direction.

Conclusion

Ingersoll Rand is in a technical bind with bearish indicators dominating the chart, while fundamentals are modestly positive but not strong enough to justify long-term investment. While money flow is strong and analyst ratings remain neutral to slightly bullish, the technical picture is a red flag. Consider waiting for a clearer breakout or a pullback before making a move.