ImmunityBio Outlook: Mixed Signals as Technicals Deter and Analysts Diverge

Market SnapshotTakeaway: ImmunityBio (IBRX.O) is in a volatile phase with bearish technicals and mixed analyst views—suggesting caution for potential investors.

News Highlights

There are no recent news items for ImmunityBio as of the latest update. This means the current stock movement is primarily driven by technical and market sentiment rather than company-specific news. Investors should monitor any upcoming corporate announcements or earnings reports for fresh catalysts.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

The simple average analyst rating is 5.00, while the performance-weighted rating stands at 5.47. These ratings, though optimistic, come from analysts with mixed historical records. For instance, D. Boral Capital has a 48.3% historical winning rate, while Jefferies has only a 0.0% success rate over recent forecasts.

There is disagreement among analysts, with Jefferies issuing a "Strong Buy" despite a poor historical performance. D. Boral Capital also gave a "Strong Buy," but with a moderate success rate. This suggests the ratings are not entirely aligned with the current price trend, which has risen by 2.61%.

From a fundamental standpoint, the internal diagnostic score is 1.72, signaling weak fundamentals. Key metrics include: Revenue-MV: -2.12 (Score: 1) ROE (%): -31.68% (Score: 0) Annualized ROE (%): -42.24% (Score: 0) Inventory Turnover Ratio: 0.05 (Score: 3) Cost of Sales Ratio (%): 0.50% (Score: 3) Asset-MV: -0.45 (Score: 1)

These fundamentals suggest the company is struggling to convert revenue into profit and has underperforming asset efficiency, which is a concern for long-term value.

Money-Flow Trends

Investor money flows into IBRX.O are showing mixed signals. The overall inflow ratio is 50.19%, suggesting some positive momentum. Breaking it down: Small investor inflow ratio: 54.47% (positive trend) Medium investor inflow ratio: 46.65% (negative trend) Large investor inflow ratio: 46.51% (negative trend) Extra-large investor inflow ratio: 51.02% (positive trend)

While retail investors (small) and major players (extra-large) are injecting funds, the larger institutional investors (medium and large) are showing a negative trend. This may indicate big-money caution despite growing retail optimism. The block trend is positive with a 50.32% inflow ratio, which is a positive sign for large investors.

The fund flow score is 7.85, which is labeled as “good.” This suggests there is currently some level of positive sentiment among investors, but caution is warranted given the technical bearishness.

Key Technical Signals

Technical analysis is bearish for IBRX.O with a score of 3.45 and the internal diagnostic score (0-10) for the technical indicators is weak. Key signals include: WR Overbought (1.00): A bearish signal, with historical signals showing a 35.71% win rate and -1.97% average return. Long Upper Shadow (1.89): A neutral signal, with a 43.1% win rate and -0.16% average return. WR Oversold (7.04): A bullish signal, with a strong 56.96% win rate and 2.75% average return. Bearish Engulfing (3.87): A neutral signal, with a 44.44% win rate and 2.13% average return.

In the last five days, Long Upper Shadow and WR Overbought have appeared multiple times, indicating a volatile and indecisive market. The WR Oversold signal on December 2 suggests a possible short-term rebound but hasn’t been enough to counter the overall bearish trend.

Overall, the technical indicators show a weak and bearish bias. With more bearish signals (3) than bullish (1), the momentum is poor, and the stock is advised to be avoided based on technicals alone.

Conclusion

ImmunityBio (IBRX.O) is in a mixed phase with bullish analyst ratings but bearish technical signals. The fundamentals are weak, with low returns and high costs, while the money flow is showing signs of optimism among small and large investors.

Actionable takeaway: Investors should consider holding off or avoiding this stock for now. The bearish technicals and mixed analyst guidance create a high-risk environment. If interested, consider waiting for a more favorable entry point after a potential pullback or after further fundamental improvements become apparent.