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On AUG 30 2025, ID rose by 110.53% within 24 hours to reach $0.1614, ID rose by 1494.71% within 7 days, rose by 642.99% within 1 month, and dropped by 6015.59% within 1 year.
ID’s performance over the past week has defied conventional volatility thresholds, with a 1,494.71% surge over seven days. This meteoric rise is the culmination of rapid-fire buying pressure concentrated in a short time window. Analysts project the movement is driven by liquidity-driven accumulation rather than long-term structural demand, as evidenced by the diverging 12-month trend, which shows a dramatic 6,015.59% drawdown.
The price trajectory of ID reflects a sharp reversal in sentiment, marked by a steep ascent in the past month. While the broader market context is not specified, the asset’s performance is anomalous even in high-volatility environments. Technical analysts suggest that the recent rally may be a short-term reaction to off-chain liquidity events or algorithmic trading triggers, but further validation is required.
Backtest Hypothesis
Given the extreme short-term volatility observed in ID, a structured backtesting framework could provide insight into the mechanics of the surge. A meaningful backtest would require defining the investment universe, the trigger event, and exit criteria.
Universe: The strategy would ideally focus on a single ticker (ID) to isolate performance. This ensures clarity in understanding the asset’s behavior under specific conditions.
Surge Definition: A 5% price surge could be defined as a movement from the previous close to today’s intraday high. For precision, the threshold should be set at ≥ 5%, aligning with standard market benchmarks.
Trade Execution: Upon detecting a 5% surge, the strategy would enter at the next day’s open, assuming market continuity. The holding period would be 5 trading days, or until a 10% stop-loss is triggered, whichever occurs first.
Risk Controls: A stop-loss of 10% and a maximum holding period of 10 days would manage risk while allowing for short-term capital gains. Position sizing could be set at a fixed amount per trade to normalize exposure.
Benchmark: The performance of the strategy would be benchmarked against a buy-and-hold approach on a broad equity index, allowing for comparison between the tactical approach and passive investment.
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