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Hyperliquid, a leading decentralized perpetuals exchange, is set to unlock $314 million worth of HYPE tokens on November 29, sparking widespread debate over market stability, transparency, and potential sell pressure. The unlock, which will release 9.92 million HYPE tokens-2.66% of the total supply-marks the first major token distribution since the project's Token Generation Event (TGE) in November 2024. The event has
, with critics and supporters alike weighing in on the implications for the platform and broader crypto markets.The cliff unlock structure, where tokens are released all at once, has raised alarms among holders. An open letter from community member Andy urged the team to address concerns directly, arguing that the ability of core contributors and airdrop recipients to sell could destabilize the market. "The team and airdrop recipients finally able to sell is going to ruffle feathers until you address the community head on," Andy wrote,
from past token unlocks that triggered sharp price declines.BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes amplified these concerns, warning that verbal assurances from the team cannot mitigate the inherent risks of the unlock. "Even if the team pinky swears to not sell, there is nothing holding them to that," he tweeted, emphasizing that the market is already pricing in dilution risks. Hayes
since July as evidence of this dynamic, arguing that only substantial revenue growth can counteract the uncertainty.The community's response has been mixed. While some demand greater transparency, others defend the team's right to their earned tokens. Supporters argue that Hyperliquid's performance-ranking among the highest-volume decentralized perpetuals exchanges-justifies the allocation. "The team has earned their share," one user tweeted,
as "desperation".Market data adds nuance to the discussion. Despite a 23% drop in HYPE's price over the past month, Hyperliquid has maintained robust trading volumes. Perpetual DEXs collectively handled $28–60 billion in daily trading in November, with Hyperliquid contributing $259 billion in monthly volume, according to DefiLlama. However, technical analysis paints a bearish picture:
of $59.30 and currently trades at $31, with a "Strong Sell" signal based on moving averages.The unlock's timing has also fueled speculation. On-chain activity revealed the Hyperliquid team unstaking 2.6 million HYPE tokens ($85.8 million) 29 hours prior to the scheduled unlock. While unstaking does not equate to selling, the move
. Hyperliquid's vesting schedule, which extends most allocations through 2027–2028, suggests the November 29 unlock is just the first of many, though monthly $300 million+ unlock narratives circulating online contradict the project's published framework.As the unlock approaches, the market remains divided. Traders and analysts are closely watching whether Hyperliquid's leadership will adopt off-market sales, liquidity provision, or long-term holding strategies. The outcome could set a precedent for how token unlocks are managed in the rapidly evolving decentralized finance (DeFi) landscape.
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