HPQ Slips 0.87% with $230M Volume Ranks 405th as Q3 Earnings Near and Segments Diverge

Generated by AI AgentAinvest Market Brief
Monday, Aug 25, 2025 6:54 pm ET1min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- HPQ fell 0.87% on $230M volume as Q3 earnings approach, with revenue expected to rise 3.3% to $13.96B but EPS projected down 9.6%.

- Personal Systems growth from AI PCs and gaming laptops contrasts with Printing division's 4.6% revenue decline due to China weakness and delayed enterprise spending.

- Strategic AI initiatives include NPU-powered workstations and Adobe partnerships, though margin pressures persist from U.S. tariffs and inflation.

- A high-turnover trading strategy yielded 31.52% returns (2022-2025) but faced volatility, highlighting market risks despite HP's 4.2% dividend yield.

On August 25, 2025,

Inc. (HPQ) closed with a 0.87% decline, trading with a volume of $0.23 billion, ranking 405th in market activity. The stock is set to report Q3 fiscal 2025 earnings on August 27, with analysts forecasting revenue of $13.96 billion, a 3.3% year-over-year increase. However, non-GAAP earnings per share are projected at $0.75, reflecting a 9.6% decline from the prior-year period, driven by four consecutive quarters of negative earnings surprises averaging 4.3%.

HP’s performance is expected to be shaped by contrasting dynamics across its segments. The Personal Systems division, bolstered by AI PC demand, is likely to outperform, with new product launches like the HP OmniBook Ultra Flip 14-inch and HP EliteBook X 14-inch driving growth. Gaming-related offerings, including the OMEN MAX 16 Gaming Laptop, also contribute to revenue. Conversely, the Printing division faces challenges, with revenue forecast to drop 4.6% to $3.95 billion, weighed down by softer demand in China and delayed enterprise spending amid macroeconomic uncertainties.

Strategic initiatives highlight HP’s focus on AI-driven innovation. The company has introduced NPU-powered workstations and co-engineered AI tools like the HP Z Captis with

. Partnerships and product advancements aim to capture 44% of AI PC notebook shipments. However, rising component costs from U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports and global inflationary pressures pose risks to margin expansion. Despite a 10.7 P/E discount to the Nasdaq Hardware Index and a 4.2% dividend yield, the stock carries a Zacks #3 Hold rating, indicating cautious investor sentiment ahead of the earnings report.

The backtest of a strategy buying the top 500 stocks by daily trading volume and holding them for one day from 2022 to 2025 yielded a 31.52% total return over 365 days, with a 0.98% average daily return. The strategy showed volatility, peaking at 7.02% in June 2023 and hitting a low of -4.65% in September 2022. While it captured short-term momentum, its performance underscores the inherent risks of market fluctuations in such a high-turnover approach.

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