Howmet Aerospace Shares Slide as 36% Volume Drop Affects Top 500 Ranking Amid Earnings Optimism

Generated by AI AgentAinvest Market Brief
Thursday, Aug 14, 2025 8:21 pm ET1min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- Howmet Aerospace (HWM) fell 0.46% to $176.80 on August 14, with trading volume dropping 36.53% to $0.35 billion.

- Commercial aerospace revenue rose 8% YoY (52% of total business), driven by air travel growth and defense contracts boosted by the $831.5B FY2026 Defense Appropriations Act.

- The company generated $478M in free cash flow and returned $383M to shareholders via dividends and buybacks in H1 2025.

- Despite strong fundamentals, HWM trades at a 56% premium to industry P/E (44.09X vs. 27.88X), raising valuation concerns amid market volatility.

- A top-500 trading-volume strategy yielded 31.52% total returns over 365 days but reflected short-term momentum risks.

Howmet Aerospace (HWM) closed August 14 with a 0.46% decline, trading at $176.80 as daily trading volume fell to $0.35 billion, a 36.53% drop from the prior day’s activity. The stock remains 84.9% above its 12-month low but trades below its 52-week high of $193.26.

Commercial aerospace demand continues to drive the company’s performance, with second-quarter revenues up 8% year-over-year, accounting for 52% of total business. Rising air travel and demand for fuel-efficient aircraft have boosted OEM spending and spare parts requirements. Defense aerospace also contributed 17% of Q2 revenue, up 21% annually, supported by the House’s $831.5 billion FY2026 Defense Appropriations Act, which could expand government contracts for

.

Shareholder returns remain a focus, with $83 million in dividends and $300 million in buybacks in 2025’s first half. The company’s liquidity position remains strong, with $545 million in cash and receivables and $478 million in free cash flow generated in the first six months of 2025. Analysts have raised 2025 earnings estimates to $3.57 per share, reflecting 32.7% year-over-year growth expectations.

Despite robust fundamentals, valuation concerns persist. HWM trades at a forward P/E of 44.09X, well above the industry average of 27.88X, making it vulnerable to market sentiment shifts. Peers like

and Corp. trade at lower multiples, highlighting relative premium pricing.

The strategy of buying the top 500 stocks by daily trading volume and holding them for one day from 2022 to now delivered moderate returns. The 1-day return was 0.98%, with a total return of 31.52% over 365 days. This indicates the strategy captured some short-term momentum but also reflected market volatility and potential timing risks.

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