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On August 12, 2025,
(HD) closed at $396.00, reflecting a 2.19% increase with a trading volume of $1.15 billion, ranking 69th in market activity. The stock’s performance outpaced major indices, including the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, and marked a 4.71% gain over the past month. Analysts highlighted anticipation for its August 19 earnings report, with consensus estimates projecting $4.71 EPS and $45.51 billion in revenue, both showing year-over-year growth. Despite a recent 0.02% upward revision in EPS estimates, HD’s Zacks Rank remains at #3 (Hold), indicating neutral analyst sentiment. Valuation metrics reveal a forward P/E of 25.78, higher than the industry average of 19.83, and a PEG ratio of 3.68, signaling a premium relative to expected earnings growth.Institutional activity included mixed transactions, with Pictet Asset Management holding a $454.46 million position and Jennison Associates reducing stakes. Analyst commentary emphasized HD’s potential to benefit from sustained home improvement demand, though sector fundamentals remain challenged, as evidenced by the Retail - Home Furnishings industry’s Zacks Rank of 159, placing it in the bottom 36% of industries. Market participants remain cautious ahead of earnings, with technical indicators suggesting moderate momentum but limited upside without catalysts.
A backtested strategy of purchasing the top 500 stocks by daily volume and holding for one day yielded $2,940 in profit from December 2021 to August 2025, with a maximum drawdown of $-1,960. The approach generated an average daily return of 0.24% and a Sharpe ratio of 0.67, peaking at 1.2 in 2023.

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